Astralis vs. fnatic CS:GO Esports Betting Analysis @ Dreamhack Marseille

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Introduction

Dreamhack Marseille 2018 is going to be one of the most interesting events in CS:GO to date. A lot of top teams have been shaken up by roster changes (primarily FaZe Clan and SK Gaming), and a lot of roster turmoil for other teams (Natus Vincere) makes the favorites for this event quite unclear. Without a top team like FaZe Clan or SK Gaming to dominate the soil, anyone can claim the championship with their own. The recent roster additions have yet to be tested on LAN, so it is unclear if online results could set a concrete precedent to each team’s level coming into this LAN.

While mousesports and Astralis can be considered the clear favorites for this tournament, primarily due to recent results and that both teams have yet to change their roster. Both teams have played consistently and for the better, with Astralis being able to get out of their slump with the addition of Magisk and mousesports having won V4 Future Esports Festival over Virtus.Pro. Apart from that, there’s also fnatic, but their online results have been mixed since winning WESG and IEM Katowice; part of this may be due to roster turmoil over Golden’s status within the team.

Boasting a $250,000 prize pool, Marseille also has an untested competitor from Asia, with TyLoo coming to prove themselves with a potent AWPer in xcurrate leading the squad. With their upset potential from StarSeries along with rivals Renegades, anything could happen at Marseille. In a time where dominance is uncertain, Marseille might just turn out to be an exciting event with these new rosters in the field.

Happy betting from EsportsBet, and let’s get into the esports betting analysis and prediction for this bookie match! Make sure to bet wisely.

Prize Distribution

  • 1st – $100,000
  • 2nd – $50,000
  • 3rd-4th – $22,000
  • 5-8th – $10,000
  • 9-16th $2,000

Broadcast Talent

  • Host:
  • Analysts:
  • Commentators:
  • Reporter:
  • Remote Commentators:

Format

  • Group Stage: April 18th – April 20th, 2018
    • Four double-elimination format (GSL) Groups (4 teams each)
    • Opening & Elimination matches are Bo1
    • Winners’ & Decider matches are Bo3
    • Top two teams from each group advance to the Playoffs
  • Playoffs: April 21st – 22nd, 2018
    • Single-Elimination bracket
    • All matches are Bo3

Credit to Liquipedia

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Denmark Astralis (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Denmark gla1ve
  • Denmark device
  • Denmark dupreeh
  • Denmark Xyp9x
  • Denmark Magisk
  • Denmark zonic (coach)

Astralis have been looking stronger since Kjaerbye’s departure in favor of Magisk, having refreshed their new system; Magisk is also a clearly stronger fragger than that of the former. With that, we’ve seen the return of the device carry on the AWP alongside stellar performances from his partner-in-crime, dupreeh.

But, at this event, we’ve seen the star play of Magisk, carrying Astralis towards a semifinal birth against their nordic rivals. There shouldn’t be any discredit for gla1ve, though, as his tactical prowess has led to Astralis making very minimal mistakes. Luckily, Astralis did not have to make any changes to their structure, as shown in an interview with Magisk. This allowed gla1ve to continue from where he left off, making very little changes while improving Astralis from a strategic standpoint.

Astralis quickly picked up where they left off with Magisk (credit: StarLadder)

In terms of current form, Astralis may as well be considered top 3 in the world (alongside mousesports, fnatic, and possibly FaZe). They’re clearly the strongest team that has made a recent roster change, and their semifinal placing at StarLadder i-Series is the most latest of results to prove it. Their ability to play off each other so well while also preventing the enemy from making any openings is impeccable. Astralis’ tactical prowess is shown to be the strongest on a map like de_overpass or de_cache, as shown when they completely obliterated Liquid.

As per their current performance at Dreamhack (obliterating FaZe, Liquid, and Gambit with less than 6 rounds lost in 4 of the 5 maps played between the 2) Astralis are a team that allow very little exploits in their gameplan. The only problem Astralis have is in regards to their ability to close out games or perform against individual star power, which has been mitigated since their choking days, but still show (like in the 1st map against Liquid). Right now, though, Astralis are probably one of the most consistent and strongest teams out there,

 

Sweden fnatic (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Sweden JW
  • Sweden Golden
  • Sweden flusha
  • Sweden KRiMZ
  • Sweden Lekr0
  • Sweden Jumpy (coach)

fnatic has been powering through their last few tournament appearances, which include becoming one of the two teams to win 2 major tournaments in 2018. IEM Katowice was thanks to some late-game heroics from flusha, whereas WESG 2018 saw them defeat the Turkish contenders Space Soldiers.

So far, the main catalyst for fnatic’s success is not Golden’s ability to bring structure and tacticality to the roster, but KRiMZ himself. In their quarterfinals win against Ninjas in Pyjamas, KRiMZ scored 70 kills across 3 maps that ended with a CT-train comeback from fnatic. If that isn’t enough to say how KRiMZ has been performing in 2018 so far, there’s no telling as to what can describe KRiMZ so far. He has been the clear star of the team, whereas Lekr0 and co. are supporting him from the backlines.

Golden came, saw, and conquered fnatic with two championship wins (credit: Daily Dot Esports)

fnatic try to give KRiMZ opportunities to trade frags and get multi-kills while anchoring on CT side. This usually leads to Golden and JW creating space for KRiMZ, whereas Lekr0 comes in and does some work here and there with the trusty deagle/AK-47. flusha, staying in his usual lurk spot, can be seen creating space, albeit doing it alone and on the other side of the map. This is to be expected from a player of flusha’s playstyle, and works best with a player as intelligent as him.

The only problem that rises around fnatic is their inconsistent map pool. While de_cobblestone has proven to be an ace up in the sleeve against Na`Vi and Renegades, they’ve been faltering on one of their other trademark maps, de_inferno, and only have de_mirage to rely on. While they have beat FaZe and Ninjas in Pyjamas on de_train, it’s really hard to say that it’s a map to be relied on when fnatic have a spotty history around in. Considering it’s against Astralis, it may not work.

It doesn’t help that Golden can’t hold his own while fragging, but it’s hard to fragout when a player like KRiMZ is playing like an MVP each game.

 

Prediction

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