Dallas Fuel vs. Seoul Dynasty: Esports Betting Analysis @ Overwatch League Season 1

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Introduction

The Overwatch Inaugural League will be another attempt at making esports mainstream in television, media, and entertainment. Led by Blizzard and their breakout game Overwatch, casual and competitive fans will be attentively awaiting for teams featuring fan favorites and all-star players will duke it off in the biggest Overwatch esports tournament to date.

12 teams from Europe, North America, and Asia will be separated into the Atlantic and Pacific Division. With each team fighting for bragging rights, championships, and prize money, it will be one of the most anticipated projects in esports to date. Many presume that OWL will be the spiritual successor of the infamous CS:Source TV Show CGS. This time, Blizzard are going to try to not repeat the same mistakes; Blizzard is going to try to legitimize Overwatch and esports as a whole.

The Preseason kicked off the Overwatch Inaugural League, with many teams surprising, meeting expectations, or leaving their fans in utter disappointment. Now the real deal begins, as the regular season will show who came prepared to play and win money.

The regular season consists of 4 stages, in which the top 3 of each stage continue to the playoffs for a share of the $125,000 prize pool per stage. Winner takes $100,000, whereas the runner up will settle for $25,000. At the end of the season, $1,300,000 will be distributed based on each team’s standing in the league—the winner taking the biggest share of $300,000.

The playoffs will finish it off with a prize pool of $1,700,000 (winner taking $1,000,000), and be succeeded by an Overwatch All-Stars Game sometime after its completion.

This league’s favorites are the Seoul Dynasty, who sport some of the most dominant and successful players from Korea to set South Korea’s flag in California. Teams like the Dallas Fuel and Florida Mayhem will attempt to defend their pride and land while also looking to claim the throne. With many story-lines preceding the Overwatch League, it will be a roller-coaster of a ride to experience as an esports spectator, fan, player, and more.

For more information, you can check out the OWL Official Site or the more in-depth Liquipedia OWL entry on the Overwatch League.

Format

Credit to Liquipedia

Regular Season – January 10th – June 16th, 2018

  • Matches in the Atlantic and Pacific Divisions will play out live from the Blizzard Arena each Wednesday through Saturday. Though the season is divided into four stages, wins and losses will count towards teams’ full-season records and all-important seeding for the postseason. On the last Saturday of each stage, the top teams will compete for hefty bonuses and the title of stage winner.
    • Stage 1 – January 10th – February 10th, 2018 [2]
    • Stage 2 – February 21st – March 24th, 2018
    • Stage 3 – April 4th – May 5th, 2018
    • Stage 4 – May 16th – June 16th, 2018
  • All matches in the Regular Season will consist of four-map sets
  • Each Stage of the Regular Season will have its own 8 map pool.
  • The top team in each Division, and the next top 4 finishers from the entire league, advance to the Championship Playoffs in July

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Dallas Fuel

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  • Kim “EFFECT” Hyeon (DPS)
  • Timo “Taimou” Kettunen (DPS)
  • Pongphop “Mickie” Rattanasangohod (Flex)
  • Brandon “Seagull” Larned (Flex)
  • Christian “cocco” Jonsson (Tank)
  • Félix “xQc” Lengyel (Tank)
  • Sebastian “chipshajen” Widlund (Support)
  • Scott “Custa” Kennedy (Support)
  • Jonathan “HarryHook” Tejedor Rua (Support)
  • Kyle “KyKy” Souder (Coach)
  • Dong-hwan “Violet” Kim (Assistant Coach)

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Dallas Fuel’s roster is one of the strongest non-Korean-dominant rosters in the current OWL League, but that remains to be an unanswered question as OWL teams are still adjusting to their new opponents in the league. Whatever their standing is, the Dallas Fuel are one of the favorites coming into the inaugural OWL season, and will be facing a tough schedule to start off the season.

This team’s composition is one of the dangerous, building off the roster of the already-dominant EnVyUs Roster. It consists of one of the strongest DPS duos in EFFECT’s Tracer and Taimou’s hit-scan capabilities, whereas their hero diversity were bolstered by the additions of Seagull and support player Custa.

The addition of xQc is a very curious one though. Arguably, he is a very strong tank (primarily on Winston), but it changes the play-style of the Fuel very heavily. It favors a more aggressive style with the Fuel roster, whereas chipsajen playing tank makes Fuel play more passively. As this becomes evident throughout the season, this may make the Dallas Fuel more prone to mistakes as enemies will learn how to tackle and counter such predictable team compositions.

Their match against the Houston Outlaws left many in doubt, as Houston Outlaws took it to 5 maps before the Dallas Fuel finished them off in a grueling map 5 decider. Of course, preseason games aren’t great precedents for many of these rosters—considering the recent change in environment and competition. Regardless, when you compare that to how the Houston Outlaws played the Seoul Dynasty, the Seoul Dynasty might be more prepared for this match—based on result.

But, the Fuel will likely adjust their play-style in accordance with the map and tank they are subbing in. Having trick/surprise players like Seagull occasionally subbing in may catch the Koreans off guard in this battle of the titans.

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Seoul Dynasty

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  • Joon-hyuk “zunba” Kim (Flex)
  • Jin-hyuk “Miro” Gong (Tank)
  • Je-hong “ryujehong” Ryu (Support/Flex)
  • Jin-mo “tobi” Yang (Support)
  • Byung-sun “Fleta” Kim (DPS)
  • Sang-beom “Munchkin” Byeon (DPS)
  • Jae-mo “xepheR” Koo (Flex)
  • Seok-woo “Wekeed” Choi (DPS)
  • Joon-hyuk “Bunny” Chae (DPS)
  • Dae-kuk “KuKi” Kim (Tank)
  • Gi-do “Gido” Moon (DPS/Flex, inactive due to age restrictions)
  • Baek Kwang-Jin (Head Coach)
  • Ho-jeong “alwaysoov” Chae (Coach)
  • Yo-han “nuGget” Kim (Coach)
  • Ho-cheol “Hocury” Lee (Coach)

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Seoul Dynasty are the favorites to take it all this season, taking the majority of the APEX dominant Lunatic-Hai lineup and boosting it with many of the top Korean players from other rosters. This entire roster played their parts in Seoul Dynasty’s dominant pre-season, going 6-1-1 with their only loss being against the Houston Outlaws. Of course, this can have a huge asterisk, as the Shanghai Dragons were rolled by Seoul Dynasty due to a lack of practice before the game.

This roster is essentially the all-stars of Korea minus the players on the New York Excelsior (GC Busan + LW Blue), backed by a stacked coaching staff and all the players you can need. The highlight of this lineup is obviously Ryujehong, who is probably the best flex/support in OWL. Top that off with Seoul’s duo support strategy with Tobi, and you have the best support duo in Overwatch right now.

Many of the DPS players on this team (primarily Munchkin and Fleta) are at the top of the standings for DPS mains in the OWL. Don’t forget that their flex and tanks are strong, and should also be held accountable for the early success Seoul Dynasty. Minding the immense coaching staff to backup this roster, there is no denying that this team is using every second possible to prepare and claim the trophy.

We can already tell how strong this lineup will be, having destroyed the closest team to them—the New York Excelsior—in a whopping 3-1 (including a 90 second round on Lunar Horizon Colony). While their match against the Houston Outlaws was very close, there is no telling if there will be a team like the Houston Outlaws that can come close to contesting this lineup.

Let’s settle it right here: the Seoul Dynasty are the most dangerous team in this league.

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Prediction

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