Gambit vs. Team Liquid CS:GO Esports Betting Analysis @ Dreamhack Marseille

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Introduction

Dreamhack Marseille 2018 is going to be one of the most interesting events in CS:GO to date. A lot of top teams have been shaken up by roster changes (primarily FaZe Clan and SK Gaming), and a lot of roster turmoil for other teams (Natus Vincere) makes the favorites for this event quite unclear. Without a top team like FaZe Clan or SK Gaming to dominate the soil, anyone can claim the championship with their own. The recent roster additions have yet to be tested on LAN, so it is unclear if online results could set a concrete precedent to each team’s level coming into this LAN.

While mousesports and Astralis can be considered the clear favorites for this tournament, primarily due to recent results and that both teams have yet to change their roster. Both teams have played consistently and for the better, with Astralis being able to get out of their slump with the addition of Magisk and mousesports having won V4 Future Esports Festival over Virtus.Pro. Apart from that, there’s also fnatic, but their online results have been mixed since winning WESG and IEM Katowice; part of this may be due to roster turmoil over Golden’s status within the team.

Boasting a $250,000 prize pool, Marseille also has an untested competitor from Asia, with TyLoo coming to prove themselves with a potent AWPer in xcurrate leading the squad. With their upset potential from StarSeries along with rivals Renegades, anything could happen at Marseille. In a time where dominance is uncertain, Marseille might just turn out to be an exciting event with these new rosters in the field.

Happy betting from EsportsBet, and let’s get into the esports betting analysis and prediction for this bookie match! Make sure to bet wisely.

Prize Distribution

  • 1st – $100,000
  • 2nd – $50,000
  • 3rd-4th – $22,000
  • 5-8th – $10,000
  • 9-16th $2,000

Broadcast Talent

  • Host:
  • Analysts:
  • Commentators:
  • Reporter:
  • Remote Commentators:

Format

  • Group Stage: April 18th – April 20th, 2018
    • Four double-elimination format (GSL) Groups (4 teams each)
    • Opening & Elimination matches are Bo1
    • Winners’ & Decider matches are Bo3
    • Top two teams from each group advance to the Playoffs
  • Playoffs: April 21st – 22nd, 2018
    • Single-Elimination bracket
    • All matches are Bo3

Credit to Liquipedia

_________

Kazakhstan Gambit (powered by EsportsBet)

 

  • Kazakhstan AdreN
  • Kazakhstan mou
  • Kazakhstan Hobbit
  • Russia seized
  • Russia Dosia
  • Ukraine Andi (coach)

Gambit themselves are going through a very rough patch, with poor results that included Hobbit stepping down from the IGL position (and seized returning to it!). This is in an attempt to bring Hobbit back to star-form (by focusing on his own game) and bring Gambit back to its former glory. It hasn’t been successful so far, as they lost to BIG in the qualifying match for ESL One Belo Horizonte, but it seems that Gambit are still working out the kinks.

Albeit, Gambit aren’t necessarily known as an online team, and seem to perform way better on LAN. From their matches against Liquid and Space Soldiers, seized seems to be replicating Zeus’ very slow paced style on Na`Vi. Rather than with old Gambit, where AdreN and Hobbit were relied on to open up sites, this new Gambit works around the AWP of mou. If it doesn’t work, they’ll play a very slow and turtley style while putting presence all around the map. This is to confuse enemies and the CT setup, that is, until Gambit burst out and completely catch the CTs off guard.

mou is now a gambit in the plans, having gone from a supportive to an AWP role in Gambit (credit: ESL)

In recent times, Gambit have started relying on mou to perform on the AWP as the star of the team. On the other hand, Hobbit and AdreN are definitely not the same as  they were on the old Gambit, whereas seized has been hindered by the micromanaging role of the IGL. Dosia, once again, continues to play a supportive/lurking role, but it seems to have not changed Gambit one bit. If Hobbit and AdreN magically return to their star roles of fragging and entry fragging, though, Gambit can definitely pull one out of the bag.

One hindrance to Gambit is their shallow map pool. Apart from de_train, Gambit are in the middle of the pack on other maps. Assuming Liquid vetoes de_train in this bo3, Gambit should be looking towards vetoing de_inferno and aiming for de_overpass. Otherwise, if they don’t get any good maps and screw up the veto, they’re going to lose BADLY.

North America Team Liquid  (powered by EsportsBet)

  • USA nitr0
  • Brazil TACO
  • USA EliGE
  • Canada Twistzz
  • Canada NAF
  • Brazil zews (coach)

Team Liquid made one small change before Marseille, adding TACO in place of steel, who left due to personal reasons undisclosed. Albeit, there isn’t much structure change, other than slotting TACO into steel’s roles. TACO, on SK Gaming, played a similar support role to that of steel’s, but is being put into a more opportunistic role to that of his old team.

A Liquified TACO? Sounds gross, but it works! (Credit: Fragbite)

nitr0 still continues to hold the IGL’ing helm, and Liquid haven’t looked half bad in their performance at Marseille so far. Liquid beat Gambit on Liquid’s trademark map, de_cobblestone, and took a map off of Astralis is a closely contested series. Albeit, the next 2 maps thereafter were a rout from the Danish side, with poor performances from the Liquid side altogether. The main takeaway from their 4 maps so far is that Team Liquid’s cohesion doesn’t seem to have changed. Actually, it feels like it’s the same Liquid of old; the only reason they faced 2 routs against Astralis is that gla1ve’s individual performance and Astralis’ overall play-style is hard to beat with Magisk on the lineup.

gla1ve & Astralis prevented Liquid from a strong day 1 (Credit: Redbull)

Liquid follows a very methodical play-style, relying on exploiting the enemy’s weaknesses on CT and T side and using EliGE to get up in their faces. On occasion, they’ll utilize nitr0/Twistzz to push A or certain positions on the map, looking to play a very aggressive style in order to catch the enemy off guard. NAF is usually seen on the other side, making space for his team, whereas TACO plays with the team to setup openings.

The only weakness that can be seen before betting on Liquid is that they won’t be following too many complex strategies. It’s best to assume that there wasn’t much preparation with TACO (not having played an official before Dreamhack) before this event, which may affect the Liquid roster as a whole. This could lead to stupid mistakes and blow huge holes in their overall game-plan, but their diverse map pool should be the counter to that. Especially, against a team like Gambit, whose map pool is not the strongest of the best.

 

Prediction

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