Houston Outlaws vs New York Excelsior: Esports Betting Analysis @ Overwatch League Season 1

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Introduction

The Overwatch league is a push into establishing a structured esports league for Overwatch. Blizzard first announced the Overwatch League at Blizzcon 2016 and followed it up with almost a year of planning. The gap left in Overwatch esports during this time left a lot of dismayed fans. But the community’s response to the Opening day of Overwatch League has been nothing short of impressive. With over 400,000 fans tuning into Twitch for the first day, one can definitely call the League a success.

The Overwatch League consists of twelve teams in its first season. Slated for expansion in subsequent seasons, the League bears a strong tilt towards North American teams. There are nine teams from North America, One from Europe, One from South Korea and finally a Chinese team from Shanghai to finish the lineup. Each team is allowed a maximum of twelve players, with teams being allowed to substitute players after each map. The Overwatch League has seen investments from several non-endemic to esports investors such as the Kroenke family, Robert Kraft, Hersh Interactive amongst others. At the same time, we have some well-known esports organizations involved in the regular handling of the teams. EnVyUs, Misfits, Immortals, and Cloud9 are some of the most well-known esports organizations with rosters in multiple titles.

The Overwatch League started on January 10th, 2018 and will continue through August 2018. The league comprises four stages, each stage having five weeks of matches. The top three of each stage will receive prize money, along with show matches on the last Saturday of each stage. These so-called ‘title matches’ will be held on the last Saturday of each stage and feature the best players fighting for a prize money.

Stage 4 is going to be really interesting with the introduction of Brigitte in the meta. We will not see the new Hanzo in order to maintain balance in the game. However, this stage also is the final stage of Season 1. It will finally decide which teams qualify to the Season 1 playoffs.

You can check out more information on the official website at Overwatchleague.com.

Format

Credit to Liquipedia

Regular Season – January 10th – June 16th, 2018

  • Matches in the Atlantic and Pacific Divisions will play out live from the Blizzard Arena each Wednesday through Saturday. Though the season is divided into four stages, wins and losses will count towards teams’ full-season records and all-important seeding for the postseason. On the last Saturday of each stage, the top teams will compete for hefty bonuses and the title of stage winner.
    • Stage 1 – January 10th – February 10th, 2018 [2]
    • Stage 2 – February 21st – March 24th, 2018
    • Stage 3 – April 4th – May 5th, 2018
    • Stage 4 – May 16th – June 16th, 2018
  • All matches in the Regular Season will consist of four-map sets
  • Each Stage of the Regular Season will have its own 8 map pool.
  • The top team in each Division, and the next top 4 finishers from the entire league, advance to the Championship Playoffs in July.

Houston Outlaws vs NYXL

 

Houston Outlaws

Houston Outlaws Roster:

  • Clockwork
  • Mendokusaii
  • Linkzr
  • Jake
  • Coolmatt
  • Spree
  • Muma
  • Boink
  • Bani
  • Rawkus
  • FCTFCTN
  • ArHan

Houston Outlaws is owned by Hector Rodriguez, owner of Optic Gaming. The organization has a rich history in esports industry. They have multiple teams in several esports titles and many of them are successful.

Houston Outlaws started Stage 1 with a very successful performance. The Houston Outlaws used their niche performances on heroes such as Junkrat to gain a huge advantage over their opponents. However as we moved on to the successive stages, we see how the teams started getting better. The new meta which saw other teams rise to prominence based off strong Tracer players saw Houston left behind.

Image Credit: InvenGlobal

Jake is not on the Junkrat anymore and his effectiveness has reduced drastically

The main DPS players for Houston are Jake and Linkzr. The two players are very individualistic players with little to no coordination. However, with Jake unable to play a good Tracer, it puts them at a big disadvantage especially when it comes to their team composition. They have to make a stop-gap team composition which can be useful for the team to proceed and compete, but not really winning material.

Linkzr is one of the best counter-widowmakers in the League. By Counter-Widowmaker we emphasize his ability to take duels with the enemy widowmaker and engage them. He often comes out superior or simply keeps them busy and forces them to take awkward angles to stop being at a disadvantage. He is proficient on other characters as well, but his Widowmaker has risen to prominence. He has a mean Genji performance and can also play off-tank roles with prominence.

Linkzr’s Widowmaker is going to be lethal on Ilios

The Houston Outlaws has very peculiar tank lineup. Their performance on the tank roles includes players known for select tanks. So while Spree is a great and talented individual, he is best known for his Zarya. Similarly we see other players such as Coolmatt who have played in official competitions on the D’va. So it is easy to try to guess what Houston’s composition will be depending on the lineup that they field. This composition can be either a Dive or a tank heavy lineup. The coaches have tried to change the lineup and give different players different characters than what they are known for. However, the dip in performance definitely does not help.

 

The Houston Outlaws is currently ranked 5th in the lineup and they have a decent shot at becoming a Stage 4 playoff team. However with only two matches remaining, one against Philadelphia and the other against NYXl, their best chance is their match against NYXL.

 

New York Excelsior

New York Excelsior Roster:

  • Saebyeolbe
  • Pine
  • Libero
  • JJonak
  • Ark
  • Janus
  • Mano
  • Meko
  • Anamo

The Excelsiors are one of the best franchises in the first season of Overwatch League. The team is owned by Jeff Wilpon , COO of the Baseball team New York Mets. The team is extremely successful so far in Season 1 of Overwatch League.

The Excelsior roster is comprised of players quite capable and efficient. They are led by Saebyeolbe, one of the strongest DPS players in the League. His positioning on any character that he plays is impeccable and that is more than half the battle won. Saebyeolbe’s performance has been the highlight of the Overwatch League since Stage 1. Initially, it was his performance onTracer but later we have seen him play all characters at a high level of efficiency.

Pine has been impressive with his Mccree on Ilios

The team includes Pine who is one of the flashiest players in the League. His Mccree does require a high amount of resources, but he is also able to constantly get a high number of kills in the team fight. Pine is a very unique player and requires a specific setting, map as well as resources from the team in order to function at a high level.

The NYXL roster, however, is probably strongest because of their support lineup. Ark and Jjonak are two of the flashiest Support players in the team. Jjonak is one of the deadliest support heroes with a huge precision. Indeed he used to play DPS earlier, however joining a team meant that he had to change roles for the benefit of the team. His teammate Ark is also a very effective individual player, but he remains a less flashy player for the team. Ark’s involvement in the team enables the rest of the team to play up to their potential.

Prediction:

While both teams are talented, Houston has a lot riding on this match. Their chances in this match might be minimal especially when we consider the history of the two teams, we realize that New York Excelsior really has not had a worthy competitor. Now one has to realize the fact that this match does not mean anything at all to New York Excelsior. They are guaranteed a slot in Stage 4 playoffs as well as the Season 1 playoffs. The New York Excelsior will be sandbagging this match, in the words of OWL Caster Monte Cristo.

New York Excelsior is currently third in Stage 4 standings. The performance of the New York Excelsior right now, however, seems to be somewhat mediocre. For them, this match is just a routine exercise and one that will boost their statistics. So for now, we recommend a low bet on Houston Outlaws for this match.

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