Made in Brazil vs NRG Esports: Esports Betting Analysis @ ESL Pro League Season 8 LAN Finals

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The ESL Pro league Season 8 LAN Finals will see the top teams in Counter-Strike in attendance. The teams will compete for a prize pool of $750,000 one of the largest amounts in Counter-Strike outside of the Majors. Every year the ESL Pro League LAN Finals is a way of ending the current season. They are usually held twice in a year and they provide a good understanding of the professional scene at the top level. This tournament will see the top teams such as Astralis, MiBr, Na’Vi, Team Liquid in participation. Their performance at this tournament will be a good prelude to the upcoming months. With the ESL One Katowice Major only a few months away, this tournament will be great preparation for many of the current teams.

The tournament is still in its Group stage and the teams will play their Best of One Opening matches on Day 1. This will be followed by Best of Three series of matches until three teams from each group are selected for the playoffs.

Primary Broadcast

Stage Host:

OJ Borg (Oliver James Borg D’Anastasi)

Desk Host.

Stunna (Tres Saranthus).

Analysts:

  • Australia SPUNJ (Chad Burchill)
  • Finland natu (Joona Leppänen)
  • Denmark Pimp (Jacob Winneche)

    Commentators:
  • HenryG (Henry Greer)
  • Sadokist (Matthew Trivett)
  • Hugo Byron (Hugo Byron)
  • JustHarry (Harry Russell) 

Interviewer:
James Banks (James Banks)

Observer:

Rushly (Alex Rush)


Secondary BroadcastCommentators:

Observer:
Rushly (Alex Rush)


Format

Group Stage: December 4th – 6th, 2018

  • Two double-elimination formats (GSL) Groups
  • Each group has 8 teams
  • The group stage is seeded based on Online League Placements

The initial matches are Bo1. All following matches are Bo3

  • The top three teams from each group advance to the playoffs:
  • Group stage winners advance to the Semifinals
  • Group stage runners-up advance to the Quarterfinals as the High Seeds
  • Group stage 3rd place teams advance to the Quarterfinals as the Low Seeds

Playoffs: December 7th – 9th, 2018
Single-Elimination bracket
The Quarterfinals and Semifinals are Bo3
The Grand Final is Bo5

Made in Brazil

Made in Brazil Roster:

  • Fallen
  • Tarik
  • Stewie2k
  • Fer
  • Coldzera

The made in Brazil roster is definitely showing signs of improvement with their current form. They added Coach YNK to the team a few months ago. While the immediate impact was somewhat visible with Fallen’s playstyle, we are just witnessing the full impact in this tournament. During their ECS Season 6 LAN run, MiBr had a strong showing even against teams like Astralis. They managed to defeat Astralis in the Group stage. Although they could not repeat their performance in the Grand finals, this does raise hope for a potential competitor to the Astralis dominance era.

Coldzera is the player with the maximum room to grow on this team. We have all seen how dominant Coldzera can be at his peak. He was the best player in the world for well over a year. However, with subsequent roster changes and the loss in form, he does not look the same as his former self. It is also partially due to his personal lack in confidence. The player lacks the ability to make invasive plays and secure kills right now. While a lack of form is definitely true, it is also important for the player to realise that he needs to retain his own style of play. He is playing extremely cautiously. While that is not a bad thing in itself, the rest of the team has not adjusted their gameplay according to his change. The lack of synergy among the team especially the Brazilian players is painfully evident. With time, we might see roster changes on this team, but for now, they remain committed to each other.

Fallen will play a big role in the team’s development going forward. The In-Game Leader is constantly in close talks with YNK in order to analyze their own performance. Their ability to make invasive plays remains linked to their confidence. With their strong ECS Season 6 LAN showing, we expect this team to be much more confident than before. Tarik and Stewie2k are already putting up big numbers for the team and that is encouraging for the coach, YNK.

NRG

NRG Roster:

  • Daps
  • NahTe
  • Cerq
  • Fugly
  • BrehZe

NRG has to be an enigma in Counter-Strike. The team has so many talented players and at times it looks competent enough to defeat even Astralis. However, they have been unable to keep up their consistent performance. The lack of consistency on part of NRG is truly the biggest obstacle to the team’s progress. They have a high skill ceiling when it comes to sheer firepower. While they do have Cerq, who is a prodigy in himself, it is the other members on the team who show a more consistent showing. Players like Nahte and Brehze have been instrumental in enabling the progress of NRG.

NRG is led by Daps, a player who has a lot of experience in the North American scene. For Daps, NRG has made significant progress as a team. His recent interview with HLTV showcased his thoughts on the matter.

The ideal situation is we win the event, but I’m always a realist in interviews, and I think if we won here it would be a huge upset, a Cinderella story because I don’t think we’re playing at maximum capacity right now. A lot of our players are burnt out from going to so many back-to-back LANs. I think the first goal is playoffs, and if we beat MIBR convincingly tomorrow then I think we do have a shot at making the finals, 100%. If we play, like, Astralis in the finals, then I just hope we can keep the form up. [laughs]

As you can clearly see Daps himself mentions that burnout is a serious problem on the team. With the level of players on this roster and their constant endeavour to become the best team in the world, it is no surprise to see their players suffering from burnout. Nahte is still a very young player and his position on the team is crucial to the results. He has improved with time and it was only a year ago that he first managed to win against a European team in any capacity [ Bo1 or BO3]. As such the player’s confidence has seen a significant increase over the past few years.

 

The team skyrockets when Cerq has a good game. Unfortunately for NRG, Cerq has not proven to be as good on LAN. Maybe it is the nerves and the pressure of performing on LAN, but he does not have the same LAN presence as his online domination. Ofcourse there are still games where the player does exceedingly well, but they are few and far between. However, it is these games which show us a glimpse of the team’s potential. It is important for the team to find the right balance between excessive play and their ability to perform at a high level on a consistent basis. This is what separates the best teams from the have-nots. As such NRG needs a good support staff and possibly player management coaches. Right now, we don’t want to see this team feeling the burnout on a regular basis.

Their match against Made in Brazil will be a really tough one since MIBr looks stronger than ever.

Prediction :

This match is a Best of Three series and the map picks become important. NRG as a team has a very limited map pool and this is going to be a big problem for the North American side. In addition to this, the team does suffer from consistency issues, which can change from one match to another. So NRG needs to get the right matches and maps in order to possibly proceed further in this series. Their performance will need to come from multiple areas in the map. Fallen being the shrewd in Game Leader that he is, will readily exploit any weakness shown on part of NRG.

The made in Brazil roster has five of the best players in the world at their peak. Each player has won a Major and a dominant period in Counter-Strike scene. With YNK added as their coach, this team already looks very strong. Their recent efforts also saw them win against Astralis at the ECS Season 6 LAN Finals. Coming into ESL Pro League, we expect MiBr to put up a strong performance, possibly even winning the tournament.

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