Mousesports vs Optic Gaming: Esports Betting Analysis @ IEM Katowice 2019 European Minor.

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IEM Katowice 2019 is the first Major of 2019 and it promises to be one of the best Majors in Counter-Strike till date. The IEM Katowice 2019 will start in February, but the Minors are all set to start on the 16th of January. The Europe and CIS Minors start on the 16th, while the NA and Asian Minors will start on the 22nd of January 2019.

The CIS Minor will have a lot of competition between the top teams. It includes teams such as Gambit Gaming, Team Spirit, Winstrike, Avangar, Pro100 and Nemiga. The teams are all very evenly matched and every match in the CIS Minor is of extreme importance. The teams are all extremely strong and the outcome of the matches depends heavily on the map vetoes and the match-ups on any particular day. The opening matches are all Best of One matches and the subsequent matches will be Best of Three.

The 3rd Place Play-in Stage will feature four teams in participation. Only two teams will move forth to the Major. This will take place on the 27th of January at the ESL Arena in Katowice. It is an opportunity for the teams who just missed out in the Minor to find themselves in the major.

Format

Group Stage:

  • Two double-elimination formats (GSL) Groups
    • Each group has four teams
    • Opening matches are Bo1
    • All following matches are Bo3
  • Top two teams from each group advance to the Playoffs

Playoffs:

  • Double-Elimination bracket
  • All matches are Bo3
  • No Grand Final is played

Prize Pool:

  1. 1st Place: $30,000 [IEM Katowice Major 2019 New Challenger Status]
  2. 2nd Place: $15,000 [IEM Katowice Major 2019 New Challenger Status]
  3. 3rd Place: $5,000 [IEM Katowice Major 2019 New Challenger Status]

Broadcast Talent

Mousesports

Mousepsorts Roster:

  • Chris “chrisJ” de Jong.
  • Tomáš “oskar” Šťastný.
  • Robin “ropz” Kool.
  • Miikka “suNny” Kemppi.
  • Martin “STYKO” Styk.

Mousesports is a team that has not found its groove after they brought back Styko to their roster. The mistakes of the organisation cost the roster deeply in 2018 as not only did they lose their groove, but they can’t seem to find it anymore. The mousesports organisation thought that adding Snax to their team would easily mean more tournaments, more victories and silverware. The reality was a harsh check for the team they are definitely not putting up big numbers anymore.


The Mousesports roster lost to Valiance 14-16. While the scoreline might suggest that it was a close match, the fact that they lost Mirage presents a worrisome indicator for most of the team. Mirage is always considered to be a favourable map for Mousesports and they have traditionally defeated some of the best team in the world on this map. You can never count out Mousepsorts on Mirage and so their loss to a lowly team such as valiance definitely raises some eyebrows.


The map was extremely close with 7-8 scorelines on both sides of the half.Unfortunately for Mousepsorts they only managed 7 rounds on either side of the map ensuring that they reached only 14 rounds. Surprisingly, it was ChrisJ who was leading the scoreboard for the Mousesports organisation. The stars on the team definitely failed to have a huge impact in this match. In fact, the youngsters in Sunny and Ropz highlighted the bottom two spots on the table. They were unable to win several of their aim duels and more often than not were the entry frags when it comes to Valiance. The mousesports roster lost several easy and economy rounds which should have been easy wins for the team. Their inability to be prepared for the surprise tactics and gameplay by Valiance cot them dearly. Some would even argue that the team was giving too much respect to their opponents, something that is great against stronger teams.


However, when you are up against a team like valiance which has little to no International LAN experience, you need to prepare yourself for their style of play. ChrisJ is carrying the team’s weight on his shoulders; however, for the team to succeed, it is necessary that he can comfortably sink back into his role as the In-Game Leader. The other players on eth team namely Oksar, Sunny and Styko need to start getting more rags and their names up on the scoreboard. Ropz has mostly been a support player who performs well, so his individual performance is not something that is under question right now.

However, Sunny’s lack of aim at Katowice is definitely surprising and more so it is perplexing for the team. Maybe Mousesports should start changing his position on the map in order to provide him with favourable matchups. If Optic Gaming identifies the weakness on the Mousepsorts we will have ourselves a strong series here.

Optic Gaming

Optic Gaming roster:

  • Kristian “k0nfig” Wienecke.
  • René “cajunb” Borg.
  • Marco “Snappi” Pfeiffer.
  • Jakob “JUGi” Hansen.
  • Ismail “refrezh” Ali.

Optic Gaming had a very poor start to their EU Minor after they ran into Team Vitality. The French team does not have much experience in big LAN events, but they are definitely showing whey they can be one of the best teams in the world. With Zywoo on their team, they are putting up huge numbers in their matches [ match ] so far. Despite having only 22 kills, it was the nature of these kills which brought Zywoo to the forefront in everyone’s attention.

However, this match involves Optic Gaming and the Danish roster is not really as bad as their previous match suggests. The team displayed excellent synergy on most occasions, but they would lose their individual aim-duels to the French team. For example, a classic take on Dust 2 A-Long meant that they needed the Tunnels control. However, as soon as they lost the Tunnel control, they were stuck on the Long side of the map. They had some questionable usage of grenades such as deciding not to smoke the cross-over from A-long to the site. But their knowledge that Vitality was on the eco [ and they just needed to clear out the close range angles] meant that this was a wise decision. It worked out splendidly in their favour, something that cannot be said for the rest of the map.


Individually, we did not see K0nfig step up in a big way. He is one of the heavy hitters on this roster and it is imperative that the player puts up big numbers for Optic Gaming. Surprisingly, Refrezh was also absent from the scoreboard and was giving company to Snappi at the bottom. His inability to put up big numbers meant that the team could never get the head-start that they required in order to take down Zywoo and co.

The Optic Gaming roster has had just a fortnight with Refrezh [ possibly less time of practice]. As such their performance needs to be taken with a grain of salt. The lack of practice clearly shows as they must have prepared only on a handful of maps. Their decision to go forth with Dust 2 against Team Vitality is a decision that was taken after Dust 2 I considered to be a relatively neutral map. However, the French have always been strong on Dust 2, back from 2013 days. They were always favoured to win on Dust 2, even against some of the best teams in the world at the time. As we head into this match, it is necessary for the Optic Gaming roster to bring forth their best game forward.


CajunB has played alongside some of the best Danish players in the region. He has been a part of most of the strongest teams in the Danish region, including several of the current Astralis roster. The player is a decent aim with the rifle and he maintains his consistency on the team. His ability to hold down certain areas of the map on his own and the consistent trade frags mean that he is crucial to the team’s performance. While we don’t expect him to start leading the board anytime soon for Optic Gaming, the level-headed player needs to maintain his performance to ensure that Optic do not suffer a loss once more.

Overall Optic Gaming is a well-rounded team. They have the necessary elements to make it past the Group stage, however, they also have several faulty pieces right now. A lot is expected off Refrezh; but if he fails to deliver once more, it is up to the rest of the squad to pick up their individual performance and give him the space necessary to find his own groove.

Prediction:

On paper, it does seem like Mousesport should win this match. They have better talent, better pas results and are a more consistent lineup. Their experience of playing with each other in the past when they were a much stronger roster will definitely come in handy as they prepare for this elimination match. However, the fact remains that the Moseports roster is not having the best results of late. They are a team that can achieve much more, statistically, they are easily favoured to win the EU Minor. However, their individual players are not in form right now; which is why we are witnessing ChrisJ at the helm of the scoreboard.


Despite having players such as Sunny, Styko and Oskar, it is surprising to see ChrisJ at the top. He needs to concentrate on his In-Game Leadership more as much as allowing the others to find more favourable trades and boost their confidence. If the team starts performing, there is little that others [ except for Zywoo and co. ] can do to stop the Mousesports roster.

Optic Gaming is a team that is still very fresh and raw. They have added Refrezh to their team on December 31st. While that was the day the announcement was made, the team has been playing with him for a few more weeks. That hardly gives them 1 month with the new roster. It is not enough time for them to prepare themselves on multiple maps. So this match will come down to how the team has prepared on certain maps and whether they are able to take on Mousesports on these maps. The Optic Gaming roster is strong on certain CT sided maps. SoMousepsorts will need to veto to their strengths and not try to counter draft the Optic Gaming side.

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