Natus Vincere vs Astralis: Esports Betting Analysis @ FaceIT London Major

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The FaceIT Major is currently underway with 16 of the top teams in attendance at the New legends stage. Eight of these teams are from the previous major, having secured their Legends status at that Major. The remaining eight fought their way through the New Challengers stage and ensured their place in the top 16. But in order to be truly immortalised in Counter-Strike, the teams need to ensure a place in the New Champions stage. They need to have a good performance in this Major in order to secure the Legends status for themselves.

The FaceIT Major Legends Stage will be held at the Twickenham stadium, the same venue as The New Challengers stage. This stage uses the Swiss format with each team having to win 3 matches in order to proceed to the next stage. At the same time, each team with 3 losses is out of the tournament.

We hope FaceIT has fixed the various PC issues that have plagued the CS:GO teams during the Challengers stage. Valve recently released a hotfix for the ‘footsteps audio’ issue where players would not be able to hear footsteps close to them.

Format

The New Legends Stage: September 12th – 16th, 2018

  • 16 Team Swiss System Format
  • Round 1 to 4 matches are Bo1
  • Round 5 matches are Bo3
  • The Buchholz system is used to seed matches from Rounds 3 to 5
  • Top 8 Teams proceed to The New Champions Stage
  • Bottom 8 Teams are eliminated
  • Click here for a detailed explanation of the Swiss System format

Broadcast Talent

  • Desk Host:
  • Stage Host:
  • Interviewer:
    • Pala (Pala Gilroy Sen)

Observer:

Natus Vincere

Na’Vi Roster:

  • S1mple
  • Zeus
  • Edward
  • Electronic
  • Flamie

Natus Vincere won three consecutive tournaments prior to coming in for the London FaceIT Major. They won the Starseries I-League Season 5, CS: GO Asia Championships as well as the ESL One Cologne 2018. This put them firmly amongst the top teams’ radar as Na’Vi was suddenly a huge threat to the top teams. With the likes of Electronic and S1mple on their roster, it would be foolhardy to dismiss this current version of Natus Vincere.

Na’Vi has two of the best players in Counter-Strike right now. With Electronic and S1mple, Na’Vi remains one of the most talented teams in the scene. Both Electronic and S1mple are in amazing form. Indeed yesterday, Electronic had a rating of 1.3 while S1mple went even further with a 1.7 rating. These numbers are actually quite huge, and it is surprising to see both of them on one team.

S1mple : The World’s best player.

S1mple mentioned in an Interview yesterday that the focus of the team remains on their strategy and synergy. However, post the team practice the team relies on enhancing individual player performances. The current meta heavily favours clutches ensuring that teams with highly skilled players S1mple is the best player in the world ofcourse and it is much easier for him to clutch in really tight and almost impossible situations. By now, it is not surprising to see s1mple post 30 + frags in a single map regularly. His high skill level just outclasses so many of his opponents. Entire opposition strategies can fall apart due to his ability to shut down certain sections of the map. He does not only rely on his aim as we have seen him readjust after the first kill in order to secure an advantage for the second kill. Often on the CT side, one kill isn’t enough as the team needs to ensure that they have a decent personnel advantage when it comes to the retake. S1mple has seen the most change when it comes to his playstyle and his dependence on the team’s well-being in a round. The earlier s1mple would often just rush down into the enemy. He would get more than 2-3 kills, however, he would leave a side of the mao exposed ensuring that this team finds it very difficult to retake the side or even get any more frags.

Electronic is one of the best players in the world, but he lives in the shadow of S1mple.

S1mple is not the only skilled player on this roster. Electronic is one of the best talents to come up from the CIS region. With S1mple definitely helping the team in terms of frags, Electronic is not far behind. Indeed if it were not for S1mple’s amazingly high KDA ratings, Electronic would be the star on this roster. But S1mple being S1mple means that he is always one of the flashiest and yet effective players on the server. Electronic has a very stable performance and he shines on the CT side of the map. Not known as much for his entry frags, Electronic can definitely be the most clutch player in certain disadvantageous situations. His ability to hold clutch can be the single most impactful type of play for Na’Vi. With their consistent force buys, it is imperative for Na’Vi to have top class aimers on their team.

Edward has steadily improved his personal performance at the CSGO FaceIT Major.

Speaking of force buys and success it seems Zeus is the key to Na’Vi’s success. The player who has been a part of four Major finals is one of the best brains in Counter-Strike. Knowing the fact that he has so much talent on his roster, Zeus often calls for force buys allowing his team to take the monetary advantage and cripple the opponents. It is not only on the T side where he calls for a force-buy but also on the CT side. The risks of a failed force-buy can be devastating for the team’s economy, but Na’Vi has a very high success rate with their force buys. Zeus has rallied his troops around him and he can truly study the tactics of any team. Their ability to make the correct kind of plays is exactly what makes them a strong team. In the instances where the round does not go according to plan, it is often S1mple and Electronic who step up and put up stellar performances.

Natus Vincere is one of the strongest teams at the Major. They seem to be a real contender for the trophy especially with Astralis waiting in the Finals.

Astralis

Astralis roster:

  • Dupreeh
  • Device
  • Xyp9x
  • Magisk
  • Glaive

The Astralis bandwagon has shown no signs of stopping at the FaceIT London Major. There is just too much going in Astralis’ favour right now. From having a very deep map pool, great individual skill as well as amazingly good mid-round calls, the Astralis roster seems to have it all in their favour.

Consistently a candidate for the title of the World’s best player, Device.

We all know of Device’s capabilities. The player has been consistently amongst the best players in the world for a long time. His ability to hold down sections of the map is what makes him one of the best players in the world. Device has a very unique style of preparation. After winning the Eleague Major 2017, the core of the team realised that they had fulfilled one of their long-standing dreams. They won a Major, something that had eluded them for a long time. However, what followed was very difficult. The team was simply not prepared for becoming the best team in the world. They had no experience of what to do while staying on top, how to handle the countermeasures against their playstyle. Device is a regular user of CS: GO Heat Maps. This gives him a timeline of player movements on certain maps and their timings. This is exactly what he uses in his gameplay and gives him the peek advantage. Device does his homework on what his opponents could use against him, this ensures that he has a knowledge of what might come his way. It is not without intense preparation that Astralis has managed to earn the title of the best team in the world.

Dupreeh has been a constant figure in the Astralis core roster.

However, it is one of the most underestimated players on the roster who has started showing up in tournament matches. Xyp9x is often regarded as the core of this roster. He might not be the flashiest player in the team, but his ability to dissect the opponent gameplay and position himself perfectly makes him one of the most valuable assets on the team. Indeed, he provides so much space to the rest of the team. Xyp9x is crucial to the team maintaining its temperament and ensuring the plays that only Astralis can manage.

Glaive has been the reason for Astralis’ excellent mid-game calls

Glaive is the In-Game Leader for Astralis. The player has brought with him an excellent read of their opposition. Despite being an In-game Leader, Glaive is not the worst player on this roster in terms of frags. Indeed, the player has often put up strong performances on an individual skill level repeatedly for the team. However, his trademark capabilities are felt when it comes to the mid-round calls on Astralis. Astralis have some of the best mid-round calls constantly evaluating their options and making excellent use of their grenades. While they are not at the same levels as BIG Gaming, Astralis also has a very high-efficiency ration.

Prediction:

The two teams are very evenly matched with a lot of skill on either side. AStralis has maintained its position as the world’s best team repeatedly. But the team has also shown a lot of its hand and playstyle on a myriad of maps. Magisk and Xy9x will be crucial for Astralis as they are the ‘weak links’ despite being so strong individual players themselves. Astralis has shown amazing mid-round calls which just goes to show how well Glaive knows their opponents. This is crucial for the team as any positional advantage could mean a round win or a round loss in this match.

Their opponents Na’Vi are not someone to be scoffed at. The Na’Vi roster is improving with each match. This includes their team synergy and individual aim. For a team that peaks at the right team, Na’Vi could really put forth some really strong performances. With Electronic and S1mple on the team, Na’Vi as no lack of aim. Edward has also shown up so far in the FaceiT London Major playoffs. His performance can be crucial to how effective Astralis is against Na’Vi.

For the most part, Na’Vi has a disadvantage when it comes to the map veto. Na’Vi and Astralis almost share a common map veto, in Cache. I would assume that Astralis lets Na’Vi ban Cache instead of banning it themselves. This is because Na’Vi’s Cache has been weak since several years now. There is almost no way that Na’Vi will suddenly become decent on this map. That being said, Na’Vi has definitely looked strong on their T sides with constant force-buys to break the CT economy. They have also practised new maps at the bootcamp. This might suggest the possibility of an improvement on Cache, but nothing has been confirmed yet.

We recommend a low bet on Na’Vi despite the map disadvantage. They have the individual players who have proven time and again that they can compete with and win against the best players on other teams. Astralis is no different and Na’Vi definitely have a slight chance at this Major.

 

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