Philadelphia Fusion vs Shanghai Dragons: Esports Betting Analysis @ Overwatch League Season 1

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Introduction

The Overwatch league is a push into establishing a structured esports league for Overwatch. Blizzard first announced the Overwatch League at Blizzcon 2016 and followed it up with almost a year of planning. The gap left in Overwatch esports during this time left a lot of dismayed fans. But the community’s response to the Opening day of Overwatch League has been nothing short of impressive. With over 400,000 fans tuning into Twitch for the first day, one can definitely call the League a success.

The Overwatch League consists of twelve teams in its first season. Slated for expansion in subsequent seasons, the League bears a strong tilt towards North American teams. There are nine teams from North America, One from Europe, One from South Korea and finally a Chinese team from Shanghai to finish the lineup. Each team is allowed a maximum of twelve players, with teams being allowed to substitute players after each map. The Overwatch League has seen investments from several non-endemic to esports investors such as the Kroenke family, Robert Kraft, Hersh Interactive amongst others. At the same time, we have some well-known esports organizations involved in the regular handling of the teams. EnVyUs, Misfits, Immortals, and Cloud9 are some of the most well-known esports organizations with rosters in multiple titles.

The Overwatch League started on January 10th, 2018 and will continue through August 2018. The league comprises four stages, each stage having five weeks of matches. The top three of each stage will receive prize money, along with show matches on the last Saturday of each stage. These so-called ‘title matches’ will be held on the last Saturday of each stage and feature the best players fighting for a prize money.

New York Excelsior won Stage 2 Playoffs and are comfortably leading the overall leaderboards for the League. They have put forth a really strong showing so far with London Spitfire definitely being their arch nemesis. But the western teams are definitely catching up as we saw Philadelphia Fusion reach the finals of Stage 2. The gap between the western and Korean teams is diminishing with each successive weak. This is what makes the Overwatch League extremely competitive and fun to watch. Shanghai Dragons, on the other hand, will be playing their first match against Los Angeles Valiant.

Stage 3 looks much closer than the previous stages with London Spitfire and NYXL no longer as dominant as they were previously. This stage also will have four teams in the playoffs, so we should expect more western teams in the Stage Playoffs.

You can check out more information on the official website at Overwatchleague.com.

Format

Credit to Liquipedia

Regular Season – January 10th – June 16th, 2018

  • Matches in the Atlantic and Pacific Divisions will play out live from the Blizzard Arena each Wednesday through Saturday. Though the season is divided into four stages, wins and losses will count towards teams’ full-season records and all-important seeding for the postseason. On the last Saturday of each stage, the top teams will compete for hefty bonuses and the title of stage winner.
    • Stage 1 – January 10th – February 10th, 2018 [2]
    • Stage 2 – February 21st – March 24th, 2018
    • Stage 3 – April 4th – May 5th, 2018
    • Stage 4 – May 16th – June 16th, 2018
  • All matches in the Regular Season will consist of four-map sets
  • Each Stage of the Regular Season will have its own 8 map pool.
  • The top team in each Division, and the next top 4 finishers from the entire league, advance to the Championship Playoffs in July.

Philadelphia Fusion vs Shanghai Dragons

The two teams have a very different path in this match. Philadelphia Fusion is not really a team which can top the table, but the team does have a slight outside chance of making it to the stage playoffs. The fact that there are four teams in the Stage Playoffs definitely plays into the team’s favor. Shanghai Dragons on the other hand are still in search of their first victory.

Philadelphia Fusion

Philadelphia Fusion Roster:

  • Carpe
  • EQO
  • Shadowburn
  • Snillo
  • HOTBA
  • Poko
  • Fragi
  • Boombox
  • DayFly
  • Joemeister
  • Neptuno

Philadelphia Fusion is the Overwatch league team owned by Comcast Spectacor as they enter the esports scene. The company manages hundreds of stadiums in Europe and North America. Going into the latter seasons of the Overwatch League, their expertise will definitely come in handy for the franchise.

Philadelphia Fusion has been a very weird team in their matches. They have wins over London Spitfire at this stage, but they are also poor at finishing matches against other teams. They have had 3 matches go to Map 5 in this Stage. The fact that they have won two of these matches against Houston Outlaws and London Spitfire definitely speaks volumes about their performance. But they keep surprising us by losing to relatively weaker teams in the subsequent week. The uncertainty and inconsistent nature of their performance have definitely created big problems for the team. They have a plethora of DPS players which include players such as Snillo, Eqo, Shadowburn, and Carpe. It does seem that the coach is confused which players to put in for which match. We have seen them try out the various combination of these DPS players.

Carpe

Carpe is the obvious and the regular in the lineup. His skill ceiling is extremely high and that is one of the biggest reasons for his regular appearance on the team despite the presence of so many DPS players on the roster. Carpe can also play the Widowmaker with great accuracy and is often single handedly responsible for won team fights. Ofcourse, Widowmaker is a very elusive ans map specific hero so we see the hero brought out on maps such as Ilios, temple of Anubis etc. Sometimes we also see Widowmaker being brought out on Blizzard World, but that practice has been slowly deteriorating.

EQO Philadelphia Fusion

EQO

The remaining three players present a steady mix of Experience as well as skill. Earlier in the Season, we would see Shadowburn being regularly on the team. But once Snillo and EQO became of age, we are seeing the young guns being used a lot of ore on the roster. Eqo has a wide variety of heroes that he can play and the flexibility of the player definitely does come in handy for the management while making a decision. However, the DPS players seem to lack the synergy with the tank lineup where the flaws can definitely be seen

Despite being off to a great start in the Season with his insane D’va bombs, Poko’s performance has fallen off in the last few weeks. While his D’va bombs are not as effective, we are slowly

Poko Photo

Poko’s ultimate usage is way above other D’vas in the OWL

seeing the attention turn to other aspects of his D’va. And somehow it is not doing that well with the rest of the team.

Ofcourse the main tank role on the team remains a big problem with Fragi’s unique playstyle not suitable for all types of players. Fragi has a very aggressive main tank role with his Reinhardt or Winston. Often times, this leads to big problems on the team as Fragi is alone and behind enemy lines without support from his DPS lineup or the support staff. If the team figures out how to figure Fragi in their lineup prominently, they can become a very strong team. But Fragi often dies alone and this leaves the team without a main tank. They intake a lot more damage than they normally would which puts them at a big disadvantage.

Shanghai Dragons

Shanghai Dragons Roster:

  • Diya
  • Xushu
  • MG
  • Roshan
  • Altering
  • Fiveking
  • Freefeel
  • ADO
  • Geguri
  • Fearless
  • Sky
  • Daemin

 

Shanghai Dragons are one of the two Asian teams in the Overwatch League. The team representing China in the first season of the Overwatch League was involved in controversies right from the start. It is owned by NetEase, a company which has business ties with Blizzard.

Post the commencement of the league, the focus turned on their extremely poor performance. The Shanghai Dragons’ record so far in the season is 0-26, a definite shame considering they are way behind the rest of the teams. They have made significant roster changes to the team with the addition of several Korean members. However, the elusive victory is not yet in sight.

Geguri Photo

Geguri is the first female player in the OWL

Shanghai Dragons’ biggest improvement has come in their tank lineup. Geguri along with Fearless have been eally strong on the roster. Geguri’s attention towards her supports definitely presents itself in her playstyle. The Chinese support players are able to stay alive a lot more with Geguri on the team. This results in more durability for the team. However, this is just the individual performance by the first female OWL player. Coming into the Overwatch League, it will be interesting to see how the team adapts to the new players. From what we heard, communication is still a slight problem on the team.

There are two different groups who speak different languages. Ofcourse Chinese and Korean are nowhere similar and we wonder how the team would be if they could manage to speak freely. It will take time for the Shanghai Dragons, but we don’t believe that they don’t lack the skills yet. They are a team with amazing individual skill but with almost no coordination amongst the various parts of the lineup. Each week is seeing big improvements on the team, but we should not expect a lot from the Chinese roster.

Photo: Robert Paul for Blizzard Entertainment

The DPS players on the team are extremely talented. Diya is constantly able to stand up to the best DPS players in the League and can often 1v1 enemy Tracers successfully. His individual performance on the Widowmaker has also impressed the talent and casters. Ado is the Projectile player for the team and his individual performance has been great. The Korean player has taken his own time to adjust to the Shanghai Dragons playstyle, but this opportunity is not lost on him. We see him trying to poke the enemy Zenyatta constantly. And oftentimes, he forces out the opposing ultimates. However, at times he holds out on his Dragonblade far too long for it to be effective at all.

Shanghai Dragons should hope to take this to Map 5, where Philadelphia Fusion has shown itself to be extremely inconsistent. If it does go to Map 5, Shanghai might have a decent chance at winning this map.

Prediction:

Fragi Philadelphia Fusion

Fragi needs to fill integrate himself with the rest of the team

The Shanghai Dragons obviously are still in search of their first win of the Season. Their current record looks extremely unimpressive, but if you have been watching their matches closely you will see the vast improvements in the team’s playstyle. The addition of new players to the team has enabled the support lineup which has been able to stay alive for a much longer time. In terms of the skill, we have seen the Shanghai Dragons DPS players stand up to the best players in the League.

The big question remains whether they can make an impact in this match. Philadelphia Fusion is a middling team and has shown glimpses of amazing performance. But their lack of consistency on the roster definitely affects their performance. Fragi is an extremely aggressive tank and it is a highly risky playstyle. It can either give the Fusion a high reward with an extremely fast ‘Earthshatter’. But it could also backfire if the opponents can read into Fragi’s playstyle. They can take advantage of the lack of support for Fragi, which can then give them a huge advantage in terms of the bodies present on the point.

Diya, Shanghai Dragons

Skillwise, Diya is as good as any other DPS player in the League

Shanghai Dragons still need some time to become a top tier team. Their last match was against Florida Mayhem, albeit an extremely weak team. But the fact that they could not defeat the Mayhem shows that there are definite cracks in the Shanghai armor. We do not expect the Dragons to be able to pull off a win in this match. Their current form is improving but it is not enough for a win against the Philadelphia Fusion.

We recommend a medium sized bet on Philadelphia Fusion for this match.

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