San Francisco Shock vs Philadelphia Fusion: Esports Betting Analysis @ Overwatch League Season 1

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Introduction

The Overwatch league is a push into establishing a structured esports league for Overwatch. Blizzard first announced the Overwatch League at Blizzcon 2016 and followed it up with almost a year of planning. The gap left in Overwatch esports during this time left a lot of dismayed fans. But the community’s response to the Opening day of Overwatch League has been nothing short of impressive. With over 400,000 fans tuning into Twitch for the first day, one can definitely call the League a success.

The Overwatch League consists of twelve teams in its first season. Slated for expansion in subsequent seasons, the League bears a strong tilt towards North American teams. There are nine teams from North America, One from Europe, One from South Korea and finally a Chinese team from Shanghai to finish the lineup. Each team is allowed a maximum of twelve players, with teams being allowed to substitute players after each map. The Overwatch League has seen investments from several non-endemic to esports investors such as the Kroenke family, Robert Kraft, Hersh Interactive amongst others. At the same time, we have some well-known esports organizations involved in the regular handling of the teams. EnVyUs, Misfits, Immortals, and Cloud9 are some of the most well-known esports organizations with rosters in multiple titles.

The Overwatch League started on January 10th, 2018 and will continue through August 2018. The league comprises four stages, each stage having five weeks of matches. The top three of each stage will receive prize money, along with show matches on the last Saturday of each stage. These so-called ‘title matches’ will be held on the last Saturday of each stage and feature the best players fighting for a prize money.

Stage 4 is going to be really interesting with the introduction of Brigitte in the meta. We will not see the new Hanzo in order to maintain balance in the game. However, this stage also is the final stage of Season 1. It will finally decide which teams qualify to the Season 1 playoffs.

You can check out more information on the official website at Overwatchleague.com.

Format

Credit to Liquipedia

Regular Season – January 10th – June 16th, 2018

  • Matches in the Atlantic and Pacific Divisions will play out live from the Blizzard Arena each Wednesday through Saturday. Though the season is divided into four stages, wins and losses will count towards teams’ full-season records and all-important seeding for the postseason. On the last Saturday of each stage, the top teams will compete for hefty bonuses and the title of stage winner.
    • Stage 1 – January 10th – February 10th, 2018 [2]
    • Stage 2 – February 21st – March 24th, 2018
    • Stage 3 – April 4th – May 5th, 2018
    • Stage 4 – May 16th – June 16th, 2018
  • All matches in the Regular Season will consist of four-map sets
  • Each Stage of the Regular Season will have its own 8 map pool.
  • The top team in each Division, and the next top 4 finishers from the entire league, advance to the Championship Playoffs in July.

San Francisco Shock vs Philadelphia Fusion

 

San Francisco Shock

San Francisco Shock Roster:

 

  • IDDQD
  • BabyBay
  • Danteh
  • Super
  • Nomy
  • Dhak
  • Sleepy
  • Sinatra
  • Nevix
  • Architect
  • Moth
  • ChoiHyoBin

The San Francisco Shock is owned by Andy Miller, Chairman, and Founder of NRG esports. It is one of the few teams with an endemic esports organization at its helm. Coming from an esports background, SFS has a good headstart when to comes managing and organizing esports players.

In the Overwatch League, San Francisco Shock is but a mid-level team. They have had their moments of glory in the League, but they have always been followed by some really shoddy plays. The San Francisco Shock has several new and young players. But the novelty of the addition of these players does pose an integration and synergy problem of the team.

On the DPS front, the Shock has players such as Dante, Sinatra, Babybay, IDDQD on the roster. But these players have been utilized minimally. Sinatra has had a huge impact on the team’s performance, but with the meta changing and no longer favoring a solo Tracer player, his importance on the roster has been reduced. Of course, it will change later depending on several factors. Sinatra’s individual performance remains at a very high skill ceiling.

Babybay set the floor on fire initially in the Overwatch League with his amazing Widowmaker performance. The initial strategy of the team relied on Babybay getting some interesting picks with the Widowmaker, but they have since transitioned into a team that is working on their integration and synergy all the time. Eqo has shown himself to be capable of playing almost all DPS characters at a very high level. His trademark hero remains the Genji and his ability to gather the ultimate percentage on the hero is unmatched in the overwatch league. While his ultimate usage might be lackluster his overall skill with the hero is very high.

Super and Nomy are the two tank players on the San Francisco Shock. The two players are good individually, but as with many of the weaker teams, there seems to be a mismatch when it comes to their performance in conjunction with the team. The tank lineup for San Francisco Shock is often left alone to fend for themselves as the DPS and the supports target someone. Of Course, the high individual skill on the part of the players often results in their survival and advantage for the team. This is a small but significant play which has often resulted in huge advantages for the Shock.

Philadelphia Fusion

Philadelphia Fusion Roster:

  • Carpe
  • Shadowburn
  • EQO
  • Snillo
  • HOTBA
  • Poko
  • Fragi
  • SADO
  • BoomBox
  • DayFly
  • Joemeister
  • Neptuno

Philadelphia Fusion is owned by Comcast Spectacor, the Sports, and Entertainment company that owns and manages hundreds of stadiums across North America. The Fusion believe in providing a decent exposure and opportunity to young talent and build their team thence.

The Fusion roster is a very young roster and a plethora of DPS players on their roster. During the start of the Overwatch league, we had Carpe and Shadowburn set the server ablaze with their Tracer, Widowmaker, and Genji. The team was already looking good at the time, but the addition of Snillo and EQO turned the tide for the team. In the current stage, we have seen how EQO and Snillo are integrating into eh roster. Carpe still remains a very high hitscan / range DPS hero. His ability and accuracy with his comfortable heroes just enabled the team to become as strong as they are.

The tank lineup for Philadelphia Fusion includes Fragi. The tank lineup cannot be mentioned without calling out Fragi for his highly skilled and extremely aggressive tank plays. He is most comfortable on Reinhardt and that works especially cause of the fact that Reinhardt has a shield to quickly toggle. His aggressive playstyle with Reinhardt just provides so much space to the rest of the team. Along with Poko, whose useful D’va bombs have fallen through after the initial burst onto the scene the tanks on the roster present a very unique situation for the fans. They can either be extremely effective and at times aggressive, but they lack the consistency required of a top tier team. They are rightfully at the middle of the table.

There has been much talk about the support lineup on Philadelphia Fusion. They have some really high skill support players, yet they refuse to use them to the full extent. This has been talked about by former Dallas Fuel member, XQC on his stream as well. But overall, the Fusion support roster does not seem to be lacking much in their performance.

Prediction:

The two teams are pretty much in the middle of the overall standings for the Overwatch League. However, coming into this stage also there is not much of a difference between the two. The San Francisco roster has played against much stronger teams so far in Stage 4. They have won against teams such as Seoul Dynasty and Houston Outlaws. However, they also lost to relatively weaker in this stage teams such as London Spitfire. The lack of consistency of the team follows the rest of their season performances.

The San Francisco Shock has developed together as a team, but their inability to maintain their form and standing is really worrying. As we look into their chances in this match, they are against a much weaker team in Philadelphia. If we look at Fusion’s past matches, their wins have come against the three ‘winless’ teams. Shanghai Dragons, Florida Mayhem and Boston Uprising are the three teams without a win so far in OWL stage 4. Winning against these teams is nothing really to write home about.

So despite their inconsistency, we recommend a medium bet on San Francisco Shock. It is still a relatively risky bet due to their inconsistent performances.

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