Shanghai Dragons vs Florida Mayhem: Esports Betting Analysis @ Overwatch League Season 1

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Introduction

The Overwatch league is a push into establishing a structured esports league for Overwatch. Blizzard first announced the Overwatch League at Blizzcon 2016 and followed it up with almost a year of planning. The gap left in Overwatch esports during this time left a lot of dismayed fans. But the community’s response to the Opening day of Overwatch League has been nothing short of impressive. With over 400,000 fans tuning into Twitch for the first day, one can definitely call the League a success.

The Overwatch League consists of twelve teams in its first season. Slated for expansion in subsequent seasons, the League bears a strong tilt towards North American teams. There are nine teams from North America, One from Europe, One from South Korea and finally a Chinese team from Shanghai to finish the lineup. Each team is allowed a maximum of twelve players, with teams being allowed to substitute players after each map. The Overwatch League has seen investments from several non-endemic to esports investors such as the Kroenke family, Robert Kraft, Hersh Interactive amongst others. At the same time, we have some well-known esports organizations involved in the regular handling of the teams. EnVyUs, Misfits, Immortals, and Cloud9 are some of the most well-known esports organizations with rosters in multiple titles.

The Overwatch League started on January 10th, 2018 and will continue through August 2018. The league comprises four stages, each stage having five weeks of matches. The top three of each stage will receive prize money, along with show matches on the last Saturday of each stage. These so-called ‘title matches’ will be held on the last Saturday of each stage and feature the best players fighting for a prize money.

Stage 4 is going to be really interesting with the introduction of Brigitte in the meta. We will not see the new Hanzo in order to maintain balance in the game. However, this stage also is the final stage of Season 1. It will finally decide which teams qualify to the Season 1 playoffs.

You can check out more information on the official website at Overwatchleague.com.

Format

Credit to Liquipedia

Regular Season – January 10th – June 16th, 2018

  • Matches in the Atlantic and Pacific Divisions will play out live from the Blizzard Arena each Wednesday through Saturday. Though the season is divided into four stages, wins and losses will count towards teams’ full-season records and all-important seeding for the postseason. On the last Saturday of each stage, the top teams will compete for hefty bonuses and the title of stage winner.
    • Stage 1 – January 10th – February 10th, 2018 [2]
    • Stage 2 – February 21st – March 24th, 2018
    • Stage 3 – April 4th – May 5th, 2018
    • Stage 4 – May 16th – June 16th, 2018
  • All matches in the Regular Season will consist of four-map sets
  • Each Stage of the Regular Season will have its own 8 map pool.
  • The top team in each Division, and the next top 4 finishers from the entire league, advance to the Championship Playoffs in July.

Shanghai Dragons vs Florida Mayhem

Shanghai Dragons

Shanghai Dragons Roster:

  • Diya
  • Xushu
  • MG
  • Roshan
  • Altering
  • Fiveking
  • Freefeel
  • ADO
  • Geguri
  • Fearless
  • Sky
  • Daemin

The Shanghai Dragons are the only Chinese franchise in the first season of Overwatch League. The Dragons are owned by NetEase, which had prior Business relations with Blizzard entertainment. They are the official distributors of Overwatch in China and there were rumors of unethical processes while hiring the initial roster for Shanghai Dragons. The team did not pick the best players from the region and that led to several accusations of corruption against the management.

The Shanghai Dragons have seen some roster movements since the start of the season. Most notably, Undying has been removed from the team while Geguri, ADO, and Fearless have joined the active roster.

Diya is one of the best DPS members in the Overwatch League. He also received the first MVP Award for the last match despite the opponents targeting the player incessantly. The Shanghai Dragons’ have made their case for themselves as they have been able to show massive improvements in their gameplay. The team has been working on their coordination and especially adjusting to the changes in the metagame. Diya’s ability to play a variety of DPS heroes at the highest level is his USP. By now many of the Shanghai Dragons’ opponents realize that targeting Diya is the right choice for them as they can easily control the rest of the team then.

The tank lineup for the team relies on Geguri, MG, and Roshan. The tanks usually don’t have any shortcomings on their list as they are always capable of doing their job. They get their work is done which is very good. As a tank, it is often difficult to make noticeable plays and ensure that the observer can highlight your playstyle. But being consistent is probably more important than ensuring that the caster sees your play. Despite this geguri has been a star performer on the team and has had several highlight-worthy plays.

The Shanghai Dragons’ biggest problem remains their subpar support lineup. The Shanghai Dragons remain a strong DPS and tank lineup, but poor ultimate usage by their supports and the lack of survivability remains a big problem for the team. The Shanghai Dragons have this match as their last chance to potentially win a match. Whether they can do so or not, is a big problem in itself.


Florida Mayhem.

Florida Mayhem Roster:

  • Tviq
  • Manneten
  • Logix
  • Sayaplayer
  • Cwoosh
  • Zebbosai
  • Zuppeh
  • Zappis
  • AweSomeguy

Florida Mayhem is owned by Ben Spoont, owner of Misfits. The original team was one of the best European Overwatch teams in the scenario. Ofcourse being an endemic organization to esports, Misfits has always been a step ahead when it comes to esports management. However, their roster has not really stepped up to their previous glory. They have been hugging the lower section of the Overwatch League standings.

Florida Mayhem has several high-quality DPS players on its roster. The roster has been at the bottom of the table for this season, however. They are currently 0-6 and definitely not a team which looks good. While the 0-6 scoreline is more in line with the new meta it also has to do with the fact that Florida has always been lagging behind the meta. We saw how much time it took for the players to adjust to the Dive and Widowmaker meta in previous stages.

Sayaplayer is the important asset to the team. The player can stand toe to toe with the best widowmakers in the League. His insane accuracy with the Widowmaker has put him up amongst the top players in the League. However, that being said, Sayaplayer has had little to no help from the rest of the team.

The tanks for the team Cwoosh, Manneten are exceptional players in their own right. However, that being said the tank players are not versatile on all the tank heroes. Cwoosh is the main tank role on the team and is most well known for his aggressive positioning on the Reinhardt and sometimes the Orisa. Manneten, however, is probably one of the best Roadhog players in the League. It is either him or Taimou when he plays Roadhog. But due to the meta being as it is, Roadhog is not always the preferred tank of choice. So Florida Mayhem is not allowed to play on their favorite and comfortable heroes. This causes them to be at a slight disadvantage when it comes to any match-up in this Stage 4.

Awesomeguy is the latest Tank addition to the team and he has been a breath of fresh air. Despite being exceptionally individually skilled, he seems to lack the coordination and possibly the communication with the rest of the team. We have seen several times that the Florida Mayhem team is confused as to their callouts and their movement on the map.

Florida Mayhem is still looking forth to achieving their first victory in Stage 4. They want to be able to maintain their positioning above Shanghai Dragons. Of course, it will come down to the final match between Shanghai Dragons and Florida Mayhem in this particular match. It holds the first real opportunity for either team to secure their first victory in Stage 4. 

Prediction:

This match will be the last and only possible attempt by Shanghai Dragons to save face. They have lost all their matches so far in Season 1 of Overwatch league and are well en route to securing a 0-40 record. It would be an embarrassing record for a team which has seen significant improvements over the past few months. Shanghai Dragon’s current record is definitely not befitting an Overwatch League team.

The Florida Mayhem, however, is also a team which has been nearing the bottom of the League. As with Shanghai Dragons, the Mayhem showed so much improvement during Stage 3 of OWL. But that improvement was solely due to the addition of new players, mainly Sayaplayer onto the roster. Remove Sayaplayer and the Mayhem team looks in Mayhem right now.

The two teams are pretty evenly matched, although the ultimate psychological impact of the performances will come into play here. Shanghai Dragons might even be the slightly better team, but as we look at their record the lack of confidence and their inability to win does seem very desperate. The weak link on the team is obviously the support lineup, and despite the other members showing their support for the players; they simply lack the adequate skill required.

For this match, it will be a difficult call, but we will like to go with Shanghai Dragons. They might not be the eventual winners, but the odds for this match on Shanghai are too good to ignore. We recommend a low bet on Shanghai Dragons.

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