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Cloud9 vs. G2 CS:GO Esports Betting Analysis @ Dreamhack Marseille

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This betting prediction is sponsored by ArcaneBet, an esports bookie with a betting platform where you can bet on your favorite teams across multiple esports titles—including DoTA 2, CS:GO, League of Legends, Vain Glory, Call of Duty, and more. Want to gamble on the winner of the match? The winner of the first map, or the team to get the first kill/round? ArcaneBet is the way to master your trade as one of the best bettors and predictors worldwide.

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Introduction

Dreamhack Marseille 2018 is going to be one of the most interesting events in CS:GO to date. A lot of top teams have been shaken up by roster changes (primarily FaZe Clan and SK Gaming), and a lot of roster turmoil for other teams (Natus Vincere) makes the favorites for this event quite unclear. Without a top team like FaZe Clan or SK Gaming to dominate the soil, anyone can claim the championship with their own. The recent roster additions have yet to be tested on LAN, so it is unclear if online results could set a concrete precedent to each team’s level coming into this LAN.

While mousesports and Astralis can be considered the clear favorites for this tournament, primarily due to recent results and that both teams have yet to change their roster. Both teams have played consistently and for the better, with Astralis being able to get out of their slump with the addition of Magisk and mousesports having won V4 Future Esports Festival over Virtus.Pro. Apart from that, there’s also fnatic, but their online results have been mixed since winning WESG and IEM Katowice; part of this may be due to roster turmoil over Golden’s status within the team.

Boasting a $250,000 prize pool, Marseille also has an untested competitor from Asia, with TyLoo coming to prove themselves with a potent AWPer in xcurrate leading the squad. With their upset potential from StarSeries along with rivals Renegades, anything could happen at Marseille. In a time where dominance is uncertain, Marseille might just turn out to be an exciting event with these new rosters in the field.

Happy betting from EsportsBet, and let’s get into the esports betting analysis and prediction for this bookie match! Make sure to bet wisely.

Prize Distribution

  • 1st – $100,000
  • 2nd – $50,000
  • 3rd-4th – $22,000
  • 5-8th – $10,000
  • 9-16th $2,000

Broadcast Talent

  • Host:
  • Analysts:
  • Commentators:
  • Reporter:
  • Remote Commentators:

Format

  • Group Stage: April 18th – April 20th, 2018
    • Four double-elimination format (GSL) Groups (4 teams each)
    • Opening & Elimination matches are Bo1
    • Winners’ & Decider matches are Bo3
    • Top two teams from each group advance to the Playoffs
  • Playoffs: April 21st – 22nd, 2018
    • Single-Elimination bracket
    • All matches are Bo3

Credit to Liquipedia

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North America Cloud9  (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Canada FNS
  • USA Skadoodle
  • USA tarik
  • USA RUSH
  • USA autimatic
  • USA valens (coach)

Some were quick to cross C9 off the list after Stewie2k announced his departure for SK Gaming; even more were crossing them off the map after Skadoodle followed in suit, possibly due to Stewie2k’s departure. While losing one of their most aggressive players and one of their biggest anchors, Cloud9 brought in FNS, and brought Skadoodle back from inactivity as a “stand-in”. Luckily, for Cloud9 fans, this didn’t last long, as Cloud9’s recent success has invigorated Skadoodle’s motivation and Skadoodle returned to the roster.

Had Skadoodle not returned, surely the betting odds and bets would be more in favor of G2. Skadoodle’s passive AWP play works best under an IGL, which was best seen in the way DaZeD, steel, and seangares utilized Skadoodle back on Skadoodle’s former teams. Under an IGL like FNS, this also unleashes tarik to focus primarily on his individual play and role, most likely serving as the entry fragger of the team. This has helped tarik for the better, as tarik’s stats have reached superstar-worthy numbers.

(credit: HLTV)

Having FNS on the team brings structure and allows all of the micromanaging to be under the leader. With structure, players like autimatic and RUSH can focus on anchoring their positions, as autimatic and RUSH play roles that are generally considered the hardest on CT side. Not to mention, each player can synergize better with one another, as each player knows their set role on T and CT side.

We’ve seen FNS provide the right tools in order to bring the best out of each player, and this is most evident with nahtE and koosta on ex-CLG. koosta, an AWPer downplayed for his lack of confidence and poor play on Liquid, started to blossom under the reigns of FNS himself. nahtE, an inexperienced player, became a star fragger with experience and time.

The only thing that should concern this prediction is whether FNS has stabilized the team and the structure is fully in state. As an IGL in a new team, FNS is more likely focusing on the team than his own individual game. If the structure isn’t set in stone yet, FNS may perform poorly, and playing 4v5 can’t help unless the other 4 are star fraggers. But, if it goes the other way, Cloud9 are truly dangerous.

FNS has been on the roster for a short time, but the results are already there (credit: DBLTAP)

 

France G2 Esports (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Spain mixwell
  • France bodyy
  • France NBK
  • France apEX
  • France kennyS
  • France NiaKK (coach)

Unlike Cloud9, G2 Esports’ roster change hasn’t seemed to elevate their level of play at all. Around the same time of C9’s change, G2 Esports’ change was a bit more shocking: shox and SmithZz had been removed, while mixwell would be joining on a trial basis. mixwell himself had been practicing French, so the fact he could join wasn’t the surprising thing; it was the player that had been removed. Shox, as a player and as a part of G2, is highly skilled mechanically and as a leader, but his leadership style—reminiscent of that of old fnatic—didn’t fit the French roster. Even though the mechanical skill was highly similar, the team cohesion and economical decisions were the bane of this roster alone. mixwell is a good player himself, but replacing shox is going to be one tall task. Of course, the removal of shox was justified, as a huge shuffle within the roster would have happened.

The problem with the addition of mixwell is that while NBK has taken up the IGL reigns, it doesn’t seem to have improved G2 for the better. Their online results have been mixed, trading maps with GODSENT, HellRaisers, and Virtus.Pro; these 3 teams alone should be considered inferior to the level of a team like G2. Of course, online results aren’t the best at determining a team’s level, but it’s pretty easy to get a general idea that the change of leadership hasn’t brought greater chemistry and structure within the team.

Regardless, it doesn’t mean that the skill level of the team has diminished—maybe except for mixwell’s poor play. kennyS is still a monster, and apEX can go mad if utilized right. These are the two players that G2 need to rely on if they want a successful run in Marseille. Whereas bodyy, NBK, and mixwell are solid anchors and consistent fraggers, kennyS and apEX are going to be the ones making the plays and opening up space and rounds for their team. If apEX cannot play consistently, then it’s up to NBK as the leader to start putting his other pawns into play; mixwell, especially, needs to find his place on the team as soon as possible. If mixwell can’t return to his OpTic form, G2 may be in trouble.

Will mixwell mix well with the team in time for their match? (Credit: ESL’s Helena Kristiansson)

 

Prediction

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ESEA MDL S26 CSGO LAN: GX vs. eXtatus Betting Analysis, Odds, and Predictions

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Sponsored by ArcaneBet

This betting prediction is sponsored by ArcaneBet, an esports bookie with a betting platform where you can bet on your favorite teams across multiple esports titles—including DoTA 2, CS:GO, League of Legends, Vain Glory, Call of Duty, and more. Want to gamble on the winner of the match? The winner of the first map, or the team to get the first kill/round? ArcaneBet is the way to master your trade as one of the best bettors and predictors worldwide.

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Introduction

The ESEA MDL S26 Global Challenge LAN returns for yet another run, taking growing teams from the rising talent in North America, Europe, South America (excluded for this event), Asia (excluded for this event), and Oceania and pitting them against each other to fight to the last team standing.

Featuring a $18,000 prize pool, the prize pool is backed up by a LAN environment and competition where inexperienced talent will be aiming to gain experience necessary to take their game to the next level. Teams will be facing off against teams each would have the once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to face–assuming each lineup (in full) were to not cross paths again. Players will shine, and players will crumble to the pressure of performing on LAN.

The arguable favorites at the Europeans, featuring S25 winners Space Soldiers and LAN formidable teams from eXtatus and AGO Gaming. Whereas Australia will have the Chiefs will go for one last Hail Mary (due to INS’ departure to Tainted Minds). NA will be represented by Rise Nation once again, whereas many will have their eyes on GX and SoaR Gaming, who both feature returning and new talent in the scene.

Before the LAN itself actually starts, the Global Challenge LAN is used as a setting to determine the winner of the EU and NA MDL seasons, with the winners being automatically promoted to the ESL Pro League and the losers forced to play in relegation. In addition, it will determine seeding (loser is #2, winner is #1) at the group stage for the ESEA CS:GO MDL Group Stage.

For NA, it will be SoaR Gaming vs. Rise Nation, whereas Europe will have (surprisingly) eXtatus vs. AGO Gaming.

Format

Credit to Liquipedia

    • Group Stage:
      • Two groups of Four teams – GSL Format
      • Top 2 advances to playoffs
    • Playoffs:
      • Single-Elimination bracket

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eXtatus

  • frozen, ZEDKO, MonttY, DEV7L, queztone

eXtatus were lucky to have even made this qualification match. To run across an inferior Fragsters and proceeding beat a stand-in plagued Space Soldiers just to qualify is considered a pretty comfortable run for the Czech-Slovak team. Let’s not forget that this team just barely qualified for the playoffs, having made it in as the 8th seed at a 10-6 record.

queztone, the team’s IGL, has surprisingly made a change from the AWPer into the IGL after joining eXtatus. As of now, the clear cut stars of this team are DEV7L (the new AWPer) and the 15 year old prodigy frozen. MonttY and ZEDKO themselves play a support entry duo, but they are only a consistent plan B. MonttY, beforehand, used to play on eSuba before joining eXtatus, and was arguably one of their best players. Don’t count those two out!

Recent form wise, they haven’t been looking too hot. Having lost 3 out of their last 5 games (two of them being a bo3 against AGO), they may be slow to come out of the gate at this LAN. Then again, CSGO is a game of unknown variables, and who knows what eXtatus will show up. 

___

Their defeat against AGO showed how heavily eXtatus can be destroyed without the star play of a player like frozen. Individually, AGO’s brute aggression and allowing de_train in the veto process was the downfall of eXtatus. This may show that eXtatus lack a very deep map pool (having vetoed one of their worst maps first, de_overpass) or fail to deeply analyze their opponent’s tendencies and play-styles. In addition, AGO’s snatchie definitely dominated the AWP battle against DEV7L, having way more impact in AGO vs. eXtatus. As GX are an unknown team (international wise), this may prove to be an obstacle for eXtatus in their match-up.  

 

GX

  • swag, dapr, Pollo, witmer, AZK

GX featured the famed iBP trio of DaZeD, swag, and AZK just for their debut in ESEA MDL S26, but midway through the season saw witmer take over the hybrid AWPer/IGL role in place of DaZeD–who retired from competitive CS:GO.

While swag and AZK are not in their prime anymore, they provide vast experience and a great supporting backbone in place of the firepower on this lineup. witmer single handedly carried them in their bo3 victory against Gale Force whereas swag took control to secure an EPL Relegation Slot vs. Ghost Academy. dapr and Pollo are two young rising talents who have experienced in MDL/Premier/Pro League, and rose the occasion at other times during GX’s MDL run.

While overhyped, this team is one to not be underestimated either. With a mix of raw firepower and experienced talent, this team is one to not overlook. While strategic/team aspects are not strong, their individual skill is off the charts–especially when you consider someone like dapr, witmer, and a specialized clutch-man in swag.

Their best maps are de_cache, de_inferno, and at times, de_cobblestone.  They have proven to be able to compete against the bottom pit of lower end ESL Pro League Teams, and have what it takes to compete against the best of the best. They just need more time and LAN experience together to mesh.

Prediction

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