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Cloud9 vs. G2 CS:GO Esports Betting Analysis @ Dreamhack Marseille

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Sponsored by ArcaneBet

This betting prediction is sponsored by ArcaneBet, an esports bookie with a betting platform where you can bet on your favorite teams across multiple esports titles—including DoTA 2, CS:GO, League of Legends, Vain Glory, Call of Duty, and more. Want to gamble on the winner of the match? The winner of the first map, or the team to get the first kill/round? ArcaneBet is the way to master your trade as one of the best bettors and predictors worldwide.

Use code 100ARCANE on your first deposit to get an extra 100 EUR/120 USD on your first deposit! 

Use code 100ARCANE on your first deposit to get an extra 100 EUR/120 USD on your first deposit! 

Introduction

Dreamhack Marseille 2018 is going to be one of the most interesting events in CS:GO to date. A lot of top teams have been shaken up by roster changes (primarily FaZe Clan and SK Gaming), and a lot of roster turmoil for other teams (Natus Vincere) makes the favorites for this event quite unclear. Without a top team like FaZe Clan or SK Gaming to dominate the soil, anyone can claim the championship with their own. The recent roster additions have yet to be tested on LAN, so it is unclear if online results could set a concrete precedent to each team’s level coming into this LAN.

While mousesports and Astralis can be considered the clear favorites for this tournament, primarily due to recent results and that both teams have yet to change their roster. Both teams have played consistently and for the better, with Astralis being able to get out of their slump with the addition of Magisk and mousesports having won V4 Future Esports Festival over Virtus.Pro. Apart from that, there’s also fnatic, but their online results have been mixed since winning WESG and IEM Katowice; part of this may be due to roster turmoil over Golden’s status within the team.

Boasting a $250,000 prize pool, Marseille also has an untested competitor from Asia, with TyLoo coming to prove themselves with a potent AWPer in xcurrate leading the squad. With their upset potential from StarSeries along with rivals Renegades, anything could happen at Marseille. In a time where dominance is uncertain, Marseille might just turn out to be an exciting event with these new rosters in the field.

Happy betting from EsportsBet, and let’s get into the esports betting analysis and prediction for this bookie match! Make sure to bet wisely.

Prize Distribution

  • 1st – $100,000
  • 2nd – $50,000
  • 3rd-4th – $22,000
  • 5-8th – $10,000
  • 9-16th $2,000

Broadcast Talent

  • Host:
  • Analysts:
  • Commentators:
  • Reporter:
  • Remote Commentators:

Format

  • Group Stage: April 18th – April 20th, 2018
    • Four double-elimination format (GSL) Groups (4 teams each)
    • Opening & Elimination matches are Bo1
    • Winners’ & Decider matches are Bo3
    • Top two teams from each group advance to the Playoffs
  • Playoffs: April 21st – 22nd, 2018
    • Single-Elimination bracket
    • All matches are Bo3

Credit to Liquipedia

_________

North America Cloud9  (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Canada FNS
  • USA Skadoodle
  • USA tarik
  • USA RUSH
  • USA autimatic
  • USA valens (coach)

Some were quick to cross C9 off the list after Stewie2k announced his departure for SK Gaming; even more were crossing them off the map after Skadoodle followed in suit, possibly due to Stewie2k’s departure. While losing one of their most aggressive players and one of their biggest anchors, Cloud9 brought in FNS, and brought Skadoodle back from inactivity as a “stand-in”. Luckily, for Cloud9 fans, this didn’t last long, as Cloud9’s recent success has invigorated Skadoodle’s motivation and Skadoodle returned to the roster.

Had Skadoodle not returned, surely the betting odds and bets would be more in favor of G2. Skadoodle’s passive AWP play works best under an IGL, which was best seen in the way DaZeD, steel, and seangares utilized Skadoodle back on Skadoodle’s former teams. Under an IGL like FNS, this also unleashes tarik to focus primarily on his individual play and role, most likely serving as the entry fragger of the team. This has helped tarik for the better, as tarik’s stats have reached superstar-worthy numbers.

(credit: HLTV)

Having FNS on the team brings structure and allows all of the micromanaging to be under the leader. With structure, players like autimatic and RUSH can focus on anchoring their positions, as autimatic and RUSH play roles that are generally considered the hardest on CT side. Not to mention, each player can synergize better with one another, as each player knows their set role on T and CT side.

We’ve seen FNS provide the right tools in order to bring the best out of each player, and this is most evident with nahtE and koosta on ex-CLG. koosta, an AWPer downplayed for his lack of confidence and poor play on Liquid, started to blossom under the reigns of FNS himself. nahtE, an inexperienced player, became a star fragger with experience and time.

The only thing that should concern this prediction is whether FNS has stabilized the team and the structure is fully in state. As an IGL in a new team, FNS is more likely focusing on the team than his own individual game. If the structure isn’t set in stone yet, FNS may perform poorly, and playing 4v5 can’t help unless the other 4 are star fraggers. But, if it goes the other way, Cloud9 are truly dangerous.

FNS has been on the roster for a short time, but the results are already there (credit: DBLTAP)

 

France G2 Esports (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Spain mixwell
  • France bodyy
  • France NBK
  • France apEX
  • France kennyS
  • France NiaKK (coach)

Unlike Cloud9, G2 Esports’ roster change hasn’t seemed to elevate their level of play at all. Around the same time of C9’s change, G2 Esports’ change was a bit more shocking: shox and SmithZz had been removed, while mixwell would be joining on a trial basis. mixwell himself had been practicing French, so the fact he could join wasn’t the surprising thing; it was the player that had been removed. Shox, as a player and as a part of G2, is highly skilled mechanically and as a leader, but his leadership style—reminiscent of that of old fnatic—didn’t fit the French roster. Even though the mechanical skill was highly similar, the team cohesion and economical decisions were the bane of this roster alone. mixwell is a good player himself, but replacing shox is going to be one tall task. Of course, the removal of shox was justified, as a huge shuffle within the roster would have happened.

The problem with the addition of mixwell is that while NBK has taken up the IGL reigns, it doesn’t seem to have improved G2 for the better. Their online results have been mixed, trading maps with GODSENT, HellRaisers, and Virtus.Pro; these 3 teams alone should be considered inferior to the level of a team like G2. Of course, online results aren’t the best at determining a team’s level, but it’s pretty easy to get a general idea that the change of leadership hasn’t brought greater chemistry and structure within the team.

Regardless, it doesn’t mean that the skill level of the team has diminished—maybe except for mixwell’s poor play. kennyS is still a monster, and apEX can go mad if utilized right. These are the two players that G2 need to rely on if they want a successful run in Marseille. Whereas bodyy, NBK, and mixwell are solid anchors and consistent fraggers, kennyS and apEX are going to be the ones making the plays and opening up space and rounds for their team. If apEX cannot play consistently, then it’s up to NBK as the leader to start putting his other pawns into play; mixwell, especially, needs to find his place on the team as soon as possible. If mixwell can’t return to his OpTic form, G2 may be in trouble.

Will mixwell mix well with the team in time for their match? (Credit: ESL’s Helena Kristiansson)

 

Prediction

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EnVyUs vs. Team Russia CS:GO Esports Betting Analysis WESG 2017

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Sponsored by ArcaneBet

This betting prediction is sponsored by ArcaneBet, an esports bookie with a betting platform where you can bet on your favorite teams across multiple esports titles—including DoTA 2, CS:GO, League of Legends, Vain Glory, Call of Duty, and more. Want to gamble on the winner of the match? The winner of the first map, or the team to get the first kill/round? ArcaneBet is the way to master your trade as one of the best bettors and predictors worldwide.

Use code 100ARCANE on your first deposit to get an extra 100 EUR/120 USD on your first deposit! 

Use code 100ARCANE on your first deposit to get an extra 100 EUR/120 USD on your first deposit! 

Introduction

Esports Betting players will have a field day at WESG’s 2017 Global LAN Finals. The World Electronic Sports Games 2017 is a continuation of last year’s finals, where organizers AliSports and ImbaTV hosted tournaments across multiple esports titles with spectacular prize pools. With patriotism and nationality pride on the line, many countries travel across to China in hopes of taking home a significant result to their country, as the whole purpose of WESG is to have “national team” competitions against one another.

Because of this, all the teams represent one single nationality. Last year, it was the French side of EnVyUs that won in the grand finals over Team Kinguin to take home the $800,000 grand prize. And, once again, that same prize will be part of the golden pot of $1,500,000 USD; teams placing as quarterfinalists or above will be taking home $10,000 at the minimum placing.

While last year’s national competition for Counter-Strike’s esports scene did not feature many top teams, there are a lot of top tier esports squads to bet on for this year. Reigning champions Team EnVyUs return with an altered lineup (kioshiMa standing in for ScreaM due to nationality rules), and recent and former champions fnatic, SK Gaming, and Cloud9 look to battle their way to take home the lion’s share.

Of course, they’ll be subject to fierce competition, as teams across South America, North America, Canada, Europe, CIS, Asia, Oceania, and more have come this far; these teams will be giving it their all to fight their way to the bitter end. Anything can happen, but there are sure to be sheer favorites and complete underdogs. But, at an intercontinental LAN like this with many group stages and matches to played, anyone can go home disappointed. Because of the plentiful amount of matches, esports bettors will surely be betting on a lot of the matches at WESG!

Broadcast Talent

English Broadcast
Chinese Broadcast

Format

  • Group Stage 1:
    • Eight Round-Robin format groups (4 teams each)
    • Top two team in each group advance to Group Stage 2
    • Bottom two teams are eliminated
    • All the matches are Bo1
  • Group Stage 2:
    • Four Double Round-Robin format groups (4 teams each)
    • Top two team in each group advance to the Playoffs
    • Bottom two teams are eliminated
    • All the matches are Bo2
  • Playoffs:
    • Single-Elimination Bracket
    • All matches are Bo3
    • 3rd place decider for semi-finalists

Credit to Liquipedia

_________

 

France Team EnVyUs  (powered by EsportsBet)

  • France kioshiMa
  • France Happy
  • France hAdji
  • France SIXER
  • France RpK
  • France maLek (coach)

EnVyUs come into this tournament with very little practice, as hAdji’s interview with HLTV commented on EnVyUs’ preparation for the event.

We practiced with our team, the main lineup with ScreaM, one or two weeks. Then we were about to start the ESL Pro League matches and I had personal issues, I couldn’t be there for a week to play the matches or play CS at all. So they played with xms during that period, and we didn’t play with SIXER at all for this tournament, we never practiced with this team.

hAdji talking about EnVyUs’ circumstances before WESG

hAdji moved up from the academy squad, and is one of the rising stars from France (Flickshot.fr)

WESG is also the first tournament of this altered EnVyUs lineup (with the closest rendition being WESG Europe w/ kioshiMa); albeit, this lineup is a bit altered, as SIXER is playing instead of kioshiMa due to nationality restrictions. There is no telling as to how they’ll perform with this new lineup, considering that their only match with this lineup was against a lower skilled Bravado team for seeding purposes (due to the other 2 teams dropping out of their group).

From what we’ve watched, we can safely assume that they’re following the old structure of EnVyUs, with SIXER reassuming the AWPing role, and hAdji filling in for xms’ entry role. On the other hand, kioshiMa will also be playing entry, whereas Happy will be lurking and RpK will serve to either take map control/trade frag with the lineup.

For now, expect EnVyUs’ map pool to be shotty, but it’s clear that one map they’re very strong on is de_inferno. Another map that they could be good on is probably de_cobblestone (considering historical context).

 

Russia Team Russia (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Russia Dosia
  • Russia seized
  • Russia WorldEdit
  • Russia electronic
  • Russia hooch
  • Russia MSE (coach)

Team Russia lost a firepower when original 5th man, flamie of Natus Vincere, declined to attend WESG, presumably due to Na`Vi’s failure to qualify for ECS after losing to GODSENT. Luckily, their original coach for WESG, hooch, was able to make amends and attend last-minute for Russia. This seems to have worked out for them greatly, as they were able to beat SK Gaming and nearly defeated BIG (who defeated SK, allowing Russia to advance).

While hooch does not have the same firepower as flamie, he has the respect of the other players on this lineup, having been their coach for previous iterations for Russia; hooch also has a general reputation of being one of the godfathers of Russia, with his CS career dating back to 1.6 teams such as Virtus.Pro and so on.

hooch is a pioneer of the Russian scene, and brings leadership to Team Russia

Luckily, for Russia, hooch has been able to keep up with his teammates in the fragging department, as the kills were distributed evenly between the 5 Russians across their two matches at WESG.

The only problem with Russia, much alike to EnVyUs, is their CT side. With a sudden change in hooch, their CT roles may take a little more time to be cohesive with each other. Albeit, this shouldn’t be too much of a worry as this Russian lineup has played together for two games already. Plus, on the other hand, hooch is a traditional IGL who is most likely going to be shot-calling along with Gambit IGL Dosia. Due to that, the roles are more likely set and the chemistry is there between the players, making them a very dangerous team to fight against.

 

Prediction

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ELEAGUE Major Qualifier Day 2 Odds And Predictions

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Day 1 went fairly well for us. Out of the 5 matches we predicted, we went 3-2. Albeit, the 2 matches I failed to predict were probably the biggest hit or misses of the tournament. Immortals vs. EnVyUs and FaZe vs Cloud9 were real coin tosses.

Let’s move on to day 2. This time, we’ll be doing all 8 match ups.

Counter Logic Gaming vs Renegades

After CLG’s disappointing day 1 result against Vega, I’m highly favoring Renegades. Even though I predicted Vega Squadron to beat CLG, I’m sure CLG were the favorites coming into the match. Nonetheless, it goes to show how much CLG lacks the experience and firepower to compete in the qualifiers.

As for Renegades? It was expected for them to lose against Ninjas in Pyjamas, but not to get absolutely obliterated. Don’t let the 16-9 scoreline fool you, because Ninjas in Pyjamas ran away with the game right from the get go.

But, in a regional matchup between these two teams, Renegades is sure to come out on top. Counter Logic Gaming are just a complete failure, and I don’t see them winning a single game this tournament. With Renegades being one of my sleeper picks for this tournament, they have the potential to surprise many. Then again, as I said: it’s a regional matchup. CLG may possibly upset here.

Map(s) that are/is most likely to be played: de_mirage or de_cobblestone

Ideal Odds: 75-25 in favor of Renegades

My Odds & scoreline: 65-35 in favor of Renegades, 16-8 on de_mirage or 16-12 on de_cobblestone for Renegades. -> Place your bets here

BetOnline E-Sports

mousesports vs. Team Spirit

I was surprised for both sides of the coin here. mousesports performed miserably against HellRaisers, getting outclassed in terms of team play and raw firepower on one of their best maps (de_train). If I were to have predicted that match and known it would be on de_train, I’m sure most of you would have agreed on mousesports winning.

Team Spirit had one of the most surprising matches of Day 1. Unlike my expectations, Team Spirit put up a formidable fight against Team Dignitas. Much like any primary AWPer on any team, DavCost was carrying Team Spirit through a rock and a hard place. If DavCost can put up a similar performance against mousesports, I can definitely see Team Spirit taking it.

IF a pug map like de_dust2 is played, I do think mousesports will win. But, if a team oriented map (e.g de_mirage) is played, a close game will be played; potentially, Team Spirit may also upset.

I highly advise against betting on this match.

Map(s) that are/is most likely to be played: de_dust2 or de_mirage

Ideal Odds: 85-15 in favor of mousesports

My Odds & scoreline: 65-35 for mousesports (if de_dust2 is played), 55-45 for mousesports (if de_mirage is played). 16-8 for mousesports on de_dust2 OR 16-14 (possible overtime play) for Team Spirit on de_mirage. -> Place your bets here

BetOnline E-Sports

HellRaisers vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas

I highly applaud HellRaisers for their match against mousesports. Their gimmicks (and DeadFox’s AWPing) were some surreal ways of playing that I haven’t seen before. In fact, I really want to see the same HellRaisers from day 1 turn up to this match. If DeadFox hits his shots and Zero puts up another formidable anchor on the B site defense, HellRaisers can win this match. Actually, in fact, ALL HellRaisers players need to be firing on all cylinders to beat Ninjas in Pyjamas. Ninjas in Pyjamas on LAN are one of the most scariest teams to play against. Not to mention, they had just crushed Renegades on Day 1. Look to HellRaisers’ trio of Zero, DeadFox, and ANGE1 as the power hitters in their potential upset against Ninjas in Pyjamas.

Map(s) that are/is most likely to be played: de_cache

Ideal Odds: 65-35 in favor of Ninjas in Pyjamas

My Odds & scoreline: 60-40 in favor of Ninjas in Pyjamas, BUT HellRaisers will come out on top 16-14 -> Place your bets here

BetOnline E-Sports

G2 vs. EnVyUs

Both French squads have not been looking bright in their past tournaments. While EnVyUs and G2 have both made it far into their recent past tournaments, they always seem to falter against level headed competition. Not to mention, G2 now looks like a tier 2 team than the G2 from 2 months ago, which was a championship contending team. EnVyUs is way too puggy and reliant on star play to win games. I believe that EnVyUs’ system does not work against top tier competition due to their lack of discipline and giving players too much freedom. But, when it comes down to a regional rivalry between the Frenchies, EnVyUs should come out on top based on recent form.

Map(s) that are/is most likely to be played: de_overpass

Ideal Odds: 50-50

My Odds & scoreline: 55-45 in favor of EnVyUs, 16-13 in favor of EnVyUs. Place your bets here

BetOnline E-Sports

Immortals vs. Vega Squadron

Probably the most lop sided match for today (tied with Renegades vs. Counter Logic Gaming). Immortals have the upper hand in literally every department. Firepower, experience, you name it, because Immortals are going to outclass Vega Squadron this game.

BUT, what Vega Squadron have going in their favor is the unknown factor. They have no experience against international competition on LAN, so it makes it harder for teams to analyze their demos and predict their play style. And, if jR and co. can turn it around from their poor performances (except mir) on day 1, I can see a potential upset.

Map(s) that are/is most likely to be played: de_mirage or de_dust2

Ideal Odds: 80-20 in favor of Immortals

My Odds & scoreline: 70-30 in favor of Immortals, 16-12 in favor of Immortals on de_dust2, 16-14 for Vega Squadron on de_mirage. Place your bets here

BetOnline E-Sports

GODSENT vs. Team Dignitas

Not much to say here, really. GODSENT, historically, have been utter garbage against Team Dignitas, having had a W-L record of 1-8 in past matchups against Dignitas. While not having the full roster in the majority of these matchups, these are still credible as evidence for GODSENT’s mishaps and chance to win against Dignitas.

Team Dignitas have better team play, a better IGL (pronax for GODSENT has been very underwhelming in comparison to MSL), and raw firepower overall. It seems that lately, GODSENT have been riding on flusha’s and Lekr0’s backs to get rounds on the scoreboard, whereas Dignitas can have any player turn up at any moment in the game.

Map(s) that are/is most likely to be played: de_cobblestone or de_train

Ideal Odds: 65-35 in favor of Dignitas

My Odds & scoreline: 90-10 in favor of Dignitas, ~16-8 on either map. Place your bets here

BetOnline E-Sports

TyLoo vs. Cloud9

Yes, both teams have been very underwhelming as of recent. But, if I were to pick a team that dropped off more, it’d probably be TyLoo.

If we look at their past matches, TyLoo are even struggling against lower competition. Most notably, their narrow win against a struggling Echo Fox in the iBUYPOWER Masters Group Decider. They also bombed out of IEM Oakland without a single win, and even got crushed by Cloud9 in an astonishing 16-0 at the former tournament.

For Cloud9, they fought a bitter and tense match against FaZe Clan in comparison to TyLoo’s bad day against OpTic. Cloud9 has better economical management than TyLoo’s shaky force buys, but TyLoo also have better potential — they’re just very inconsistent in utilizing that potent firepower. Even then, Cloud9 SHOULD take this match.

Map(s) that are/is most likely to be played: de_overpass

Ideal Odds: 70-30 in favor of Cloud9

My Odds & scoreline: 80-20 in favor of Cloud9, 16-4 in favor of Cloud9. Place your bets here

BetOnline E-Sports

FaZe vs. OpTic

3rd straight tournament these guys meet. In their past 2 tournaments, OpTic have a record of 4-1 against FaZe in their history of playing against each other. The only loss against FaZe was a lopsided de_nuke match, where OpTic somehow pulled an abysmal T sided half after a 12-3 scoreline on CT side. Just goes to show how much OpTic are in control of the series against FaZe Clan.

I want to lean the seesaw a bit in favor of FaZe Clan, though. Maybe third time’s the charm, but it really depends on the map played. If it’s de_dust2 or de_cache, I definitely see a chance for FaZe Clan in beating OpTic. Otherwise, OpTic will get the ball rolling and beat FaZe Clan.

Map(s) that are/is most likely to be played: de_cache

Ideal Odds: 65-35 in favor of OpTic

My Odds & scoreline: 65-35 in favor of OpTic, 16-12 in favor of OpTic. Place your bets here

BetOnline E-Sports

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