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Cloud9 vs. G2 CS:GO Esports Betting Analysis @ Dreamhack Marseille

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Sponsored by ArcaneBet

This betting prediction is sponsored by ArcaneBet, an esports bookie with a betting platform where you can bet on your favorite teams across multiple esports titles—including DoTA 2, CS:GO, League of Legends, Vain Glory, Call of Duty, and more. Want to gamble on the winner of the match? The winner of the first map, or the team to get the first kill/round? ArcaneBet is the way to master your trade as one of the best bettors and predictors worldwide.

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Introduction

Dreamhack Marseille 2018 is going to be one of the most interesting events in CS:GO to date. A lot of top teams have been shaken up by roster changes (primarily FaZe Clan and SK Gaming), and a lot of roster turmoil for other teams (Natus Vincere) makes the favorites for this event quite unclear. Without a top team like FaZe Clan or SK Gaming to dominate the soil, anyone can claim the championship with their own. The recent roster additions have yet to be tested on LAN, so it is unclear if online results could set a concrete precedent to each team’s level coming into this LAN.

While mousesports and Astralis can be considered the clear favorites for this tournament, primarily due to recent results and that both teams have yet to change their roster. Both teams have played consistently and for the better, with Astralis being able to get out of their slump with the addition of Magisk and mousesports having won V4 Future Esports Festival over Virtus.Pro. Apart from that, there’s also fnatic, but their online results have been mixed since winning WESG and IEM Katowice; part of this may be due to roster turmoil over Golden’s status within the team.

Boasting a $250,000 prize pool, Marseille also has an untested competitor from Asia, with TyLoo coming to prove themselves with a potent AWPer in xcurrate leading the squad. With their upset potential from StarSeries along with rivals Renegades, anything could happen at Marseille. In a time where dominance is uncertain, Marseille might just turn out to be an exciting event with these new rosters in the field.

Happy betting from EsportsBet, and let’s get into the esports betting analysis and prediction for this bookie match! Make sure to bet wisely.

Prize Distribution

  • 1st – $100,000
  • 2nd – $50,000
  • 3rd-4th – $22,000
  • 5-8th – $10,000
  • 9-16th $2,000

Broadcast Talent

  • Host:
  • Analysts:
  • Commentators:
  • Reporter:
  • Remote Commentators:

Format

  • Group Stage: April 18th – April 20th, 2018
    • Four double-elimination format (GSL) Groups (4 teams each)
    • Opening & Elimination matches are Bo1
    • Winners’ & Decider matches are Bo3
    • Top two teams from each group advance to the Playoffs
  • Playoffs: April 21st – 22nd, 2018
    • Single-Elimination bracket
    • All matches are Bo3

Credit to Liquipedia

_________

North America Cloud9  (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Canada FNS
  • USA Skadoodle
  • USA tarik
  • USA RUSH
  • USA autimatic
  • USA valens (coach)

Some were quick to cross C9 off the list after Stewie2k announced his departure for SK Gaming; even more were crossing them off the map after Skadoodle followed in suit, possibly due to Stewie2k’s departure. While losing one of their most aggressive players and one of their biggest anchors, Cloud9 brought in FNS, and brought Skadoodle back from inactivity as a “stand-in”. Luckily, for Cloud9 fans, this didn’t last long, as Cloud9’s recent success has invigorated Skadoodle’s motivation and Skadoodle returned to the roster.

Had Skadoodle not returned, surely the betting odds and bets would be more in favor of G2. Skadoodle’s passive AWP play works best under an IGL, which was best seen in the way DaZeD, steel, and seangares utilized Skadoodle back on Skadoodle’s former teams. Under an IGL like FNS, this also unleashes tarik to focus primarily on his individual play and role, most likely serving as the entry fragger of the team. This has helped tarik for the better, as tarik’s stats have reached superstar-worthy numbers.

(credit: HLTV)

Having FNS on the team brings structure and allows all of the micromanaging to be under the leader. With structure, players like autimatic and RUSH can focus on anchoring their positions, as autimatic and RUSH play roles that are generally considered the hardest on CT side. Not to mention, each player can synergize better with one another, as each player knows their set role on T and CT side.

We’ve seen FNS provide the right tools in order to bring the best out of each player, and this is most evident with nahtE and koosta on ex-CLG. koosta, an AWPer downplayed for his lack of confidence and poor play on Liquid, started to blossom under the reigns of FNS himself. nahtE, an inexperienced player, became a star fragger with experience and time.

The only thing that should concern this prediction is whether FNS has stabilized the team and the structure is fully in state. As an IGL in a new team, FNS is more likely focusing on the team than his own individual game. If the structure isn’t set in stone yet, FNS may perform poorly, and playing 4v5 can’t help unless the other 4 are star fraggers. But, if it goes the other way, Cloud9 are truly dangerous.

FNS has been on the roster for a short time, but the results are already there (credit: DBLTAP)

 

France G2 Esports (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Spain mixwell
  • France bodyy
  • France NBK
  • France apEX
  • France kennyS
  • France NiaKK (coach)

Unlike Cloud9, G2 Esports’ roster change hasn’t seemed to elevate their level of play at all. Around the same time of C9’s change, G2 Esports’ change was a bit more shocking: shox and SmithZz had been removed, while mixwell would be joining on a trial basis. mixwell himself had been practicing French, so the fact he could join wasn’t the surprising thing; it was the player that had been removed. Shox, as a player and as a part of G2, is highly skilled mechanically and as a leader, but his leadership style—reminiscent of that of old fnatic—didn’t fit the French roster. Even though the mechanical skill was highly similar, the team cohesion and economical decisions were the bane of this roster alone. mixwell is a good player himself, but replacing shox is going to be one tall task. Of course, the removal of shox was justified, as a huge shuffle within the roster would have happened.

The problem with the addition of mixwell is that while NBK has taken up the IGL reigns, it doesn’t seem to have improved G2 for the better. Their online results have been mixed, trading maps with GODSENT, HellRaisers, and Virtus.Pro; these 3 teams alone should be considered inferior to the level of a team like G2. Of course, online results aren’t the best at determining a team’s level, but it’s pretty easy to get a general idea that the change of leadership hasn’t brought greater chemistry and structure within the team.

Regardless, it doesn’t mean that the skill level of the team has diminished—maybe except for mixwell’s poor play. kennyS is still a monster, and apEX can go mad if utilized right. These are the two players that G2 need to rely on if they want a successful run in Marseille. Whereas bodyy, NBK, and mixwell are solid anchors and consistent fraggers, kennyS and apEX are going to be the ones making the plays and opening up space and rounds for their team. If apEX cannot play consistently, then it’s up to NBK as the leader to start putting his other pawns into play; mixwell, especially, needs to find his place on the team as soon as possible. If mixwell can’t return to his OpTic form, G2 may be in trouble.

Will mixwell mix well with the team in time for their match? (Credit: ESL’s Helena Kristiansson)

 

Prediction

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