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Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. mousesports CS:GO Esports Betting Analysis @ Dreamhack Marseille

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Sponsored by ArcaneBet

This betting prediction is sponsored by ArcaneBet, an esports bookie with a betting platform where you can bet on your favorite teams across multiple esports titles—including DoTA 2, CS:GO, League of Legends, Vain Glory, Call of Duty, and more. Want to gamble on the winner of the match? The winner of the first map, or the team to get the first kill/round? ArcaneBet is the way to master your trade as one of the best bettors and predictors worldwide.

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Introduction

Dreamhack Marseille 2018 is going to be one of the most interesting events in CS:GO to date. A lot of top teams have been shaken up by roster changes (primarily FaZe Clan and SK Gaming), and a lot of roster turmoil for other teams (Natus Vincere) makes the favorites for this event quite unclear. Without a top team like FaZe Clan or SK Gaming to dominate the soil, anyone can claim the championship with their own. The recent roster additions have yet to be tested on LAN, so it is unclear if online results could set a concrete precedent to each team’s level coming into this LAN.

While mousesports and Astralis can be considered the clear favorites for this tournament, primarily due to recent results and that both teams have yet to change their roster. Both teams have played consistently and for the better, with Astralis being able to get out of their slump with the addition of Magisk and mousesports having won V4 Future Esports Festival over Virtus.Pro. Apart from that, there’s also fnatic, but their online results have been mixed since winning WESG and IEM Katowice; part of this may be due to roster turmoil over Golden’s status within the team.

Boasting a $250,000 prize pool, Marseille also has an untested competitor from Asia, with TyLoo coming to prove themselves with a potent AWPer in xcurrate leading the squad. With their upset potential from StarSeries along with rivals Renegades, anything could happen at Marseille. In a time where dominance is uncertain, Marseille might just turn out to be an exciting event with these new rosters in the field.

Happy betting from EsportsBet, and let’s get into the esports betting analysis and prediction for this bookie match! Make sure to bet wisely.

Prize Distribution

  • 1st – $100,000
  • 2nd – $50,000
  • 3rd-4th – $22,000
  • 5-8th – $10,000
  • 9-16th $2,000

Broadcast Talent

  • Host:
  • Analysts:
  • Commentators:
  • Reporter:
  • Remote Commentators:

Format

  • Group Stage: April 18th – April 20th, 2018
    • Four double-elimination format (GSL) Groups (4 teams each)
    • Opening & Elimination matches are Bo1
    • Winners’ & Decider matches are Bo3
    • Top two teams from each group advance to the Playoffs
  • Playoffs: April 21st – 22nd, 2018
    • Single-Elimination bracket
    • All matches are Bo3

Credit to Liquipedia

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Sweden Ninjas in Pyjamas (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Sweden GeT_RiGhT
  • Sweden REZ
  • Sweden draken
  • Sweden f0rest
  • Sweden dennis
  • Sweden pita (coach)

Two of the 2012 Ninjas in Pyjamas core is left: the legendary duo of GeT_RiGhT and f0rest. Having swapped Xizt for dennis after an abysmal cs_summit 2 run, Ninjas in Pyjamas went on to the playoffs of IEM Katowice, eventually losing to Team Liquid in a best of three. One could say that their results have slightly improved, as the Ninjas in Pyjamas have secured their spot in the ESL Pro League Finals in Dallas; ECS has been different for them, as they’re currently in the middle of the pack with a slim chance to make the finals.

Having removed Xizt should be seen as a huge improvement for Ninjas in Pyjamas. An IGL with inconsistent individual performances and team results overall, it was time for NiP to throw a spanner of the works and shake up their lineup. With the addition of dennis, not only does the team bring a refreshed structure with new coach pita, dennis himself is a pivotal player that can single-handily win rounds with his pistol play. fnatic’s dominant run with dennis on the roster was contributed to by his high kill rate on pistol rounds, which helped fnatic on the majority of their dominating games and comebacks.

 

dennis at the helm may be the breath of life the Ninjas needed (Credit: Fragbite)

Over time, with the additions of REZ and draken beforehand, we’ve seen a shift in roles for the old guards too. GeT_RiGhT has moved on towards a traditional supportive role, whereas f0rest has been shown to play anchor and entry fragger when needed. On the other hand, most of the star roles have been handed upon the youngsters of REZ and draken, both of whom have shown signs of individual brilliance—especially draken—at major events in the past. On T side, expect the Ninjas to play slowly and wait for REZ/draken to get a pick, then playoff the man advantage and enemy information.

Can draken single handedly power Ninjas in Pyjamas to a win and win you your esports betting money? (Credit: Metro)

The Ninjas are best when teams give openings or try to exploit them with aggression, to which the Ninjas counter easily. On the CT side, REZ and draken generally play anchor roles, with both of them being part of the NiP double AWP setup whenever utilized. On the other hand, GeT_RiGhT and f0rest play anchor roles on sites, with dennis usually opting to play rotational spots such as arch on de_inferno.

Albeit, their opening match against SK Gaming was very shaky, with the Brazilians capitalizing on the Ninjas’ mistakes and making a mini-comeback on SK Gaming’s CT side. Luckily, thanks to some even more costlier mistakes from the Brazilians, the Ninjas capitalized on SK’s weak economy and strung together some rounds. If Ninjas in Pyjamas can’t find a way to single handedly dominate a game without having to rely on a star performance from draken, they might be in trouble against an all-out slug-fest mousesports.

Ninjas in Pyjamas’ trademark maps so far have been de_cache and de_train. Surprisingly enough, their form has deteriorated from their trademark map, de_nuke, as shown by recent losses to North and LDLC in the ESL Pro League. Yet, de_cache has also been an ace in the sleeve, which might be pulled out, should their opponents be unwise.

 

Europe mousesports (powered by EsportsBet)

  • Netherlands chrisJ
  • Czech Republic oskar
  • Estonia ropz
  • Finland suNny
  • Slovakia STYKO
  • Ukraine lmbt (coach)

mousesports, in terms of recent form and achievements, are actually the team that should be the favorites to win Dreamhack Marseille. In 2018 alone, they are one of the two teams (along with fnatic to have won more than one international event on a tier 1 scale (V4 Future Esports Festival and StarLadder i-Series) and have yet to make a roster change to their current lineup since then. Consistently, they have proven time and time again to be a deadly roster to this date.

When you think about stars on this team, it’s usually oskar that is considered to be the hard carry. But, anyone on this team can pop off, and even chrisJ has proved to do it on his specialty map, de_mirage. ropz is the cool headed clutch player, suNny can be a mad dash fragger and pop off absurdly on crunch-time maps, and STYKO is that support rifler who can support and frag on a consistent basis. Overall, the team relies on unusual setups and aggression, as seen from their aggressive pushes on de_mirage mid and their forward A hold against Valiance in their opener.

Will mousesports be the first team to win 3 international titles in 2018? (Credit: mousesports)

The opener was a bit of a shocker, as Valiance almost pulled it back from a 13-2 deficit (flashbacks to QBF if you’re a mouz fan) to defeat mousesports. Luckily, mousesports won 16-13, but it was a match that was way too close for comfort. Albeit, mousesports were in control for most of the game, but it is clear that nerves and cockiness did get in their hands throughout the match.

On their map pool, mousesports are the strongest when it comes to de_mirage or de_inferno, whereas they handle themselves considerably on the rest. de_mirage has been their staple map for a long time, but mousesports have been known to play all 7 maps in the current pool with general consistency.

Arguably, esports betting odds will have them as the favorites for this match, and don’t be surprised to see esports sites and percentages in favor of them. mousesports are arguably the strongest team coming into Marseille, and their esports results and form recently have to show for it.

Prediction

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