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Fnatic vs North: Esports Betting Analysis @ ESL One Cologne 2018

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Introduction

ESL One Cologne begins on the 3rd of July and it will continue for a period of 6 days. The annual event, which is a marquee tournament in Counter-Strike history has seen the best teams participate regularly. It has a prize pool of $300,000 and features 16 teams competing at the Lanxess Arena in Cologne.

ESL One Cologne has seen the top teams victorious at the event. For several years, this tournament was a Valve Major. It might no longer be a major, but it truly determines the best teams in the CS GO Scene at the time. ESL One Cologne will see the battle for supremacy between several teams for the second spot. With Astralis comfortably sitting near the top of the rankings with their dominating performance, we have several teams including Faze Clan, Mousesports, and Na’Vi competing for the rank 2 position.

In addition to this, there are newly formed teams such as G2, Mibr which can always spring up a surprise. They already have the potential but just need to showcase results for themselves. ESL One Cologne will be streamed live on Facebook.

Format

Credit to Liquipedia

  • Group Stage: July 3rd – 5th, 2018
    • Two double-elimination format (GSL) Groups
    • The initial matches are Bo1
    • All following matches are Bo3
    • The top three teams from each group advance to the playoffs:
      • Group stage winners advance to the Semifinals
      • Group stage runners-up advance to the Quarterfinals as the High Seeds
      • Group stage 3rd place teams advance to the Quarterfinals as the Low Seeds
  • Playoffs: July 6th – 8th, 2018
    • Single-elimination bracket
    • The Quarter Finals and Semifinals are Bo3
    • The Grand Final is Bo5

Fnatic vs North

Fnatic

Fnatic Roster:

  • Xizt
  • Flusha
  • Krimz
  • JW
  • Draken

Fnatic is one of the biggest names in Counter-Strike. The organization which held the mantle for the best team in the world for a prolonged period of time during 2015 saw some roster and organization changes henceforth.  However, they have not been able to replicate the same level of success since then. The current Fnatic roster retains the core of the team. The trio of Flusha, Krimz, and JW are joined by former NIP players Xizt and Draken.

The performance of this team and their results heavily depend on the performance of the Fnatic core. The three players have already shown us their peak, and that is unchallenged so far in Counter-Strike. But as far as the current form goes, they are not really at their peak. The Fnatic roster did win some big tournaments in 2018, including IEM Katowice and WESG. IEM Katowice was an impressive performance led by Golden, now a substitute on the team. There were plans to remove Golden prior to IEM Katowice, but the sudden spurt in the trophies and victories made Fnatic organization to push their decision down the line. With Golden now on the substitute bench and possibly looking for a new organization, the new Fnatic roster has little to no experience together.

Draken has to be the guy to help Fnatic over the edge. Bet at Arcanebet

Indeed this will be Draken’s first map together with the rest of the squad. Draken has a very aggressive performance as an AWPer. It is confusing why they picked up Draken on the team when they have JW on the roster. However, Draken could just be the infusion of young blood and upcoming talent that they need. They have entailed Xizt as their In-Game Leader. Xizt’s IGL performance on NIP was limited due to the resources he had at his disposal. NIP’s refusal to change their core for such a prolonged period of time definitely impacted their results and performance.

Xizt has also been performing really well in his personal capacity as a rifle. He has had several clutch situations, where he helped Faze Clan when he was a stand-in. His personal performance, new talent available for the In-Game leader definitely will help him to surprise the naysayers.

North

North Roster:

  • MSL
  • Aizy
  • Valde
  • Mertz
  • Kjaerbye

North is the second best Danish roster in Counter-Strike. Constantly living in the Shadows of the world’s best team, Astralis, North has been improving dramatically over the years. The current roster has been together for almost six to seven months now. They have had ample time to gel together and put up great synergy and coordination.

Team North is currently ranked 8th on the HLTV world rankings, but there seems to be a huge gap between the top five and the rest. While North does put up surprising performances at times, they have not really been in the same league as the top CS GO teams. North has been playing in lower tier tournaments, so their performance and titles have to be taken with a grain of salt. They last won the Dreamhack Open tours 2018, a tournament with Tier ⅔ teams at best.

MSL’s in Game leadership is one of the best, but his form on an individual level is highly questionable. It is not rare to see In-Game Leaders suffer from lack of personal performance. But MSL has been at the bottom of the list. But despite his lower than average performances, North still retains the eight position on the world rankings. The rest of the team, especially when it comes to Aizy and Kjaerbye have been really consistent and strong. Kjaerbye and Aizy, former Astralis members do have the experience of playing at the top level. Their experience along with the obvious talent on the team is what makes this team extremely strong. But they don’t have much practice against the top teams and that is a big disadvantage for them.

Prediction:

Both the teams have had varied results when it comes to head to head matches. While Fnatic has won 8 matches, North has won 5 against Fnatic. This is pretty much balanced as much as the difference between the teams goes. The Fnatic roster has way more experience amongst themselves, however. The team with the likes of Xizt, flusha, JW, and Krimz consists of several veterans on the team. While they have been consistently average, it is Draken who can be their trump card in this tournament. Fnatic’s roster has changed quite a bit and that is going to affect their synergy and coordination for this matchup.


North, on the other hand, is quite stable compared to Fnatic. There is not much difference in rankings or team performance. The stability of Team North is what makes them an endearing pick for us. We recommend a medium sized bet on Team North for this match.

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